Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, June 6, 2026)?

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.5 K against COL. A 34% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Saturday, June 6, 2026: Jacob Misiorowski (~7.5 K), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~6.3 K), Joe Ryan (~5.7 K), Nolan McLean (~5.7 K), Braxton Ashcraft (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Saturday, June 6, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, June 6, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 4–0

SEAaway

DEThomeTop matchup45 Final · 3–2

KCaway

MINhomeTop matchup63 Final · 5–6

CINaway

STLhomeTop matchup40 Final · 2–3

SFaway

CHChomeTop matchup52 Final · 4–6

BALaway

TORhomeTop matchup32 Final · 6–3

CWSaway

PHIhomeTop matchup26 Final · 6–1

WSHaway

AZhomeTop matchup27 Final · 2–13

ATHaway

HOUhomeTop matchup43 Final · 3–6

PITaway

ATLhomeTop matchup56 Final · 3–4

TBaway

MIAhomeTop matchup35 Final · 6–0

CLEaway

TEXhomeTop matchup50 Final · 7–1

MILaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–9

LAAaway

LADhomeTop matchup74 Final · 2–3

NYMaway

SDhomeTop matchup58

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate34.4% K / BF

vs LHB38.8%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection7.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jake McCarthy (L)20.6%3.0

2. Sterlin Thompson (L)22.0%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)18.0%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)25.1%3.0

5. Troy Johnston (L)20.9%3.0

6. Ezequiel Tovar (R)24.7%2.1

7. Braxton Fulford (R)22.6%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)23.1%2.0

9. Chad Stevens (R)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 8.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+120-159

BOVBovada+120-160

FDFanDuel+120-160

We project 7.5 K vs the 8.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB24.1%

vs RHB25.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)24.9%3.0

2. Jose Siri (R)26.7%3.0

3. Wade Meckler (L)20.0%3.0

4. Oswald Peraza (R)23.4%3.0

5. Nolan Schanuel (L)17.7%3.0

6. Jo Adell (R)24.0%3.0

7. Nick Madrigal (R)20.3%2.2

8. Donovan Walton (L)22.1%2.0

9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)25.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+112-150

BOVBovada-115-115

DKDraftKings-110-116

FDFanDuel+104-128

We project 6.3 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate27.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.7%

vs RHB26.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carter Jensen (L)28.5%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)21.5%3.0

3. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)15.7%3.0

4. Maikel Garcia (R)16.5%3.0

5. Lane Thomas (R)24.2%2.4

6. Michael Massey (L)18.2%2.0

7. Tyler Tolbert (R)23.8%2.0

8. Josh Rojas (L)21.9%2.0

9. Kyle Isbel (L)20.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-162+120

DKDraftKings-161+126

FANFanatics-160+120

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.0% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB25.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)18.7%3.0

2. Jackson Merrill (L)24.1%3.0

3. Ty France (R)22.6%3.0

4. Manny Machado (R)22.9%3.0

5. Jase Bowen (R)22.0%3.0

6. Xander Bogaerts (R)20.2%2.2

7. Miguel Andujar (R)18.6%2.0

8. Sung-Mun Song (L)22.7%2.0

9. Freddy Fermin (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-141+106

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-143+112

FANFanatics-140+105

FDFanDuel-144+108

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.4% K / BF

vs LHB28.6%

vs RHB22.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)20.2%3.0

2. Mauricio Dubón (R)18.7%3.0

3. Matt Olson (L)21.9%3.0

4. Ozzie Albies (L)16.7%3.0

5. Dominic Smith (L)18.9%3.0

6. Austin Riley (R)24.1%3.0

7. Eli White (R)21.6%2.4

8. Austin Wynns (R)24.9%2.0

9. Ha-Seong Kim (R)23.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-110-120

BRBetRivers-117-114

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-111-115

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-114-114

We project 5.7 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.3%

vs RHB25.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.7%3.0

2. Dansby Swanson (R)23.2%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)21.3%3.0

4. Alex Bregman (R)17.3%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)26.2%2.8

6. Seiya Suzuki (R)25.3%2.0

7. Nico Hoerner (R)11.1%2.0

8. Pedro Ramírez (L)22.0%2.0

9. Carson Kelly (R)19.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-150+112

BOVBovada-160+120

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 5.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.9% K / BF

vs LHB25.3%

vs RHB23.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Travis Bazzana (L)15.4%3.0

2. José Ramírez (L)16.0%3.0

3. Chase DeLauter (L)15.9%3.0

4. Kyle Manzardo (L)30.3%3.0

5. Daniel Schneemann (L)27.0%3.0

6. Angel Martínez (L)24.0%2.8

7. Steven Kwan (L)12.3%2.0

8. Patrick Bailey (L)25.1%2.0

9. Brayan Rocchio (L)17.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers+110-148

BOVBovada+105-135

DKDraftKings+124-159

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+122-150

We project 5.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate26.9% K / BF

vs LHB24.9%

vs RHB26.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)14.8%3.0

2. Jhostynxon Garcia (R)23.8%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)21.9%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)20.8%3.0

5. Nick Gonzales (R)18.0%2.2

6. Oneil Cruz (L)28.9%2.0

7. Endy Rodríguez (L)21.2%2.0

8. Tyler Callihan (L)20.7%2.0

9. Jake Mangum (L)18.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+116-155

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+106-135

FDFanDuel+114-140

We project 5.3 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.8% K / BF

vs LHB21.7%

vs RHB24.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Gleyber Torres (R)17.2%3.0

2. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.3%3.0

3. Dillon Dingler (R)19.5%3.0

4. Jahmai Jones (R)25.7%2.9

5. Riley Greene (L)25.4%2.0

6. Spencer Torkelson (R)28.6%2.0

7. Colt Keith (L)21.0%2.0

8. Matt Vierling (R)21.1%2.0

9. Wenceel Pérez (L)19.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-145+110

DKDraftKings-139+109

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-140+106

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Cam Smith (R)26.4%3.0

2. Collin Price (R)22.0%3.0

3. Brice Matthews (R)26.6%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)16.7%3.0

5. Nick Allen (R)23.4%3.0

6. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)24.2%2.0

7. Taylor Trammell (L)29.7%2.0

8. Jake Meyers (R)20.2%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)18.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB24.6%

vs RHB21.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Will Benson (L)22.4%3.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)22.5%3.0

3. Spencer Steer (R)18.4%3.0

4. Sal Stewart (R)21.9%3.0

5. Edwin Arroyo (R)22.0%2.4

6. Blake Dunn (R)24.8%2.0

7. Noelvi Marte (R)29.6%2.0

8. Matt McLain (R)21.2%2.0

9. Nathaniel Lowe (L)25.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-135+105

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 5.2 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB22.8%

vs RHB21.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Xavier Edwards (R)19.6%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)17.6%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)24.1%3.0

4. Jakob Marsee (L)25.3%2.7

5. Leo Jiménez (R)24.7%2.0

6. Javier Sanoja (R)19.2%2.0

7. Esteury Ruiz (R)25.2%2.0

8. Liam Hicks (L)20.4%2.0

9. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+110-148

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+109-139

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+114-152

We project 4.8 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.3% K / BF

vs LHB23.3%

vs RHB19.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Justin Foscue (R)23.7%3.0

2. Corey Seager (L)21.9%3.0

3. Josh Jung (R)20.6%3.0

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.1%3.0

5. Wyatt Langford (R)21.6%2.9

6. Ezequiel Duran (R)23.1%2.0

7. Jake Burger (R)26.2%2.0

8. Evan Carter (L)22.1%2.0

9. Kyle Higashioka (R)24.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOVBovada-170+130

DKDraftKings-164+128

FDFanDuel-174+130

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. George Springer (R)20.7%3.0

2. Nathan Lukes (L)16.4%3.0

3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)12.5%3.0

4. Daulton Varsho (L)20.7%3.0

5. Ernie Clement (R)14.2%3.0

6. Brandon Valenzuela (L)21.8%2.6

7. Kazuma Okamoto (R)32.4%2.0

8. Andrés Giménez (L)21.8%2.0

9. Myles Straw (R)17.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BOVBovada+125-165

FDFanDuel+124-166

We project 4.6 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.9% K / BF

vs LHB19.2%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Masyn Winn (R)21.8%3.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)17.6%3.0

3. Jordan Walker (R)20.7%3.0

4. Nelson Velázquez (R)23.3%3.0

5. Alec Burleson (L)16.3%3.0

6. José Fermín (R)18.5%2.4

7. Bryan Torres (L)22.4%2.0

8. Lars Nootbaar (L)24.4%2.0

9. Jimmy Crooks (L)21.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-128+101

FANFanatics-125-105

FDFanDuel-140+106

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.1%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.7 BF

Expected batters faced18.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Sam Hentges (L)22.0%2.7

2. Rafael Devers (L)27.0%2.0

3. Luis Arraez (L)8.0%2.0

4. Willy Adames (R)24.1%2.0

5. Jung Hoo Lee (L)13.1%2.0

6. Jonah Cox (R)22.0%2.0

7. Matt Chapman (R)20.8%2.0

8. Eric Haase (R)25.8%2.0

9. Victor Bericoto (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+107-143

DKDraftKings+110-141

FDFanDuel+126-154

We project 4.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.0% K / BF

vs LHB17.9%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Cole Young (L)18.3%3.0

2. Julio Rodríguez (R)22.4%3.0

3. Josh Naylor (L)14.3%3.0

4. Randy Arozarena (R)21.8%3.0

5. Luke Raley (L)27.8%2.7

6. Dominic Canzone (L)22.0%2.0

7. Patrick Wisdom (R)20.8%2.0

8. Colt Emerson (L)24.1%2.0

9. Jhonny Pereda (R)19.2%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-165

BOVBovada+120-160

FDFanDuel+134-164

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.1% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB21.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)22.8%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)19.2%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)17.4%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)23.8%2.7

5. Marcus Semien (R)20.0%2.0

6. A.J. Ewing (L)27.9%2.0

7. Mark Vientos (R)21.6%2.0

8. Brett Baty (L)26.9%2.0

9. Luis Torrens (R)22.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-120-110

BRBetRivers-114-117

BOVBovada-120-110

DKDraftKings-124-103

FDFanDuel-118-104

We project 4.7 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.3% K / BF

vs LHB19.8%

vs RHB19.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)25.4%3.0

2. Curtis Mead (R)20.2%3.0

3. Luis García Jr. (L)20.9%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)24.1%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)21.0%3.0

6. Daylen Lile (L)20.3%3.0

7. Jacob Young (R)20.0%2.0

8. Nasim Nuñez (R)21.4%2.0

9. Keibert Ruiz (R)19.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+102-136

BOVBovada-105-125

DKDraftKings+103-131

FANFanatics+100-130

FDFanDuel+110-134

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.7% K / BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB19.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Luisangel Acuña (R)23.0%3.0

2. Miguel Vargas (R)21.1%3.0

3. Randal Grichuk (R)21.7%3.0

4. Colson Montgomery (L)29.2%3.0

5. Chase Meidroth (R)21.6%2.4

6. Jacob Gonzalez (L)22.0%2.0

7. Tristan Peters (L)19.1%2.0

8. Drew Romo (L)25.5%2.0

9. Derek Hill (R)25.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-167+125

BOVBovada-165+125

DKDraftKings-167+131

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-158+128

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB22.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.7 BF

Expected batters faced20.7

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carlos Cortes (L)13.3%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)19.0%3.0

3. Jonah Heim (L)19.2%2.7

4. Colby Thomas (R)23.2%2.0

5. Lawrence Butler (L)23.3%2.0

6. Henry Bolte (R)21.2%2.0

7. Zack Gelof (R)27.1%2.0

8. Jeff McNeil (L)17.6%2.0

9. Darell Hernaiz (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-165+123

BOVBovada-160+120

FDFanDuel-154+126

We project 4.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.2% K / BF

vs LHB16.7%

vs RHB20.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)17.4%3.0

2. Corbin Carroll (L)21.8%3.0

3. Gabriel Moreno (R)20.0%3.0

4. Nolan Arenado (R)21.1%3.0

5. Ildemaro Vargas (L)13.8%2.1

6. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)30.8%2.0

7. Geraldo Perdomo (L)16.3%2.0

8. LuJames Groover (R)22.0%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)21.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+123-165

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+134-171

FDFanDuel+128-172

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.8% K / BF

vs LHB22.4%

vs RHB27.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.8 BF

Expected batters faced14.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Oliver Dunn (L)23.0%2.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)21.6%2.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)18.4%2.0

4. Richie Palacios (L)20.3%2.0

5. Ben Williamson (R)21.4%2.0

6. Cedric Mullins (L)19.9%1.8

7. Taylor Walls (L)26.0%1.0

8. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)23.3%1.0

9. Chandler Simpson (L)14.2%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate16.9% K / BF

vs LHB17.0%

vs RHB18.5%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.3%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)19.5%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)18.5%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)16.5%3.0

5. Max Muncy (L)23.9%3.0

6. Ryan Ward (L)21.7%2.3

7. Alex Call (R)18.7%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)24.1%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-155

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+112-143

FANFanatics+120-160

FDFanDuel+120-160

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.9% K / BF

vs LHB26.4%

vs RHB23.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.2 BF

Expected batters faced13.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Taylor Ward (R)22.8%2.0

2. Gunnar Henderson (L)22.4%2.0

3. Adley Rutschman (L)17.4%2.0

4. Pete Alonso (R)21.3%2.0

5. Coby Mayo (R)28.4%1.3

6. Leody Taveras (L)21.9%1.0

7. Samuel Basallo (L)20.5%1.0

8. Blaze Alexander (R)23.9%1.0

9. Jeremiah Jackson (R)19.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.3%

vs RHB25.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.4 BF

Expected batters faced13.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)25.8%2.0

2. Trea Turner (R)18.6%2.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)21.9%2.0

4. Alec Bohm (R)17.6%2.0

5. Brandon Marsh (L)27.2%1.4

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)20.3%1.0

7. Bryson Stott (L)17.4%1.0

8. Adolis García (R)23.8%1.0

9. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.5%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB20.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload16.4 BF

Expected batters faced16.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Orlando Arcia (R)17.9%2.0

2. Brooks Lee (L)18.1%2.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)23.0%2.0

4. Josh Bell (L)22.3%2.0

5. Austin Martin (R)20.6%2.0

6. Alex Jackson (R)26.2%2.0

7. Royce Lewis (R)27.2%2.0

8. Luke Keaschall (R)17.6%1.4

9. Ryan Kreidler (R)27.7%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135+100

BRBetRivers-137+104

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-135+106

FDFanDuel-132+100

We project 3.5 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate17.5% K / BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB17.6%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload17.4 BF

Expected batters faced17.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Christian Yelich (L)27.6%2.0

2. Jackson Chourio (R)22.9%2.0

3. Brice Turang (L)22.7%2.0

4. William Contreras (R)16.8%2.0

5. Jake Bauers (L)24.6%2.0

6. Blake Perkins (L)24.4%2.0

7. Sal Frelick (L)13.7%2.0

8. Joey Ortiz (R)17.5%2.0

9. David Hamilton (L)20.7%1.4

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Saturday, June 6, 2026

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) is the top strikeout start on the Saturday, June 6, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 7.5 K, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Jacob Misiorowski

Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 7.5 K against COL. He's missing bats at a 34% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and COL has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) (74) — about 6.3 K vs LAA: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Joe Ryan (MIN) (63) — about 5.7 K vs KC: a 27% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Nolan McLean (NYM) (58) — about 5.7 K vs SD: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
Braxton Ashcraft (PIT) (56) — about 5.7 K vs ATL: a 26% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Landen Roupp (SF) (52) — about 5.3 K vs CHC: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

CWS is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Andrew Painter is the arm to exploit it (26).
HOU is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Kade Morris is the arm to exploit it (43).
CIN is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Matthew Liberatore is the arm to exploit it (40).
TEX is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Tanner Bibee is the arm to exploit it (35).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.0 strikeouts. Top play Jacob Misiorowski punched out 8. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Saturday, June 6, 2026)?: Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 7.5 K against COL. A 34% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Saturday, June 6, 2026: Jacob Misiorowski (~7.5 K), Yoshinobu Yamamoto (~6.3 K), Joe Ryan (~5.7 K), Nolan McLean (~5.7 K), Braxton Ashcraft (~5.7 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Saturday, June 6, 2026?: Jacob Misiorowski punched out 8.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.