Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 15, 2026)?

Chase Burns (CIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against NYM. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.

What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?

The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 15, 2026: Chase Burns (~6.7 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.5 K), Shota Imanaga (~5.8 K), Dustin May (~5.3 K), J.T. Ginn (~4.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.

How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?

It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.

Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?

Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.

What's the projected strikeout number?

A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.

Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.

What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?

Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.

Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?

A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.

What's the confidence meter?

How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.

Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?

Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)

Are these confirmed or projected lineups?

Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.

Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Strikeouts Board · Archive

Best MLB strikeouts matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, June 15, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by strikeout upside against today's lineup. Whiff rate, the bats he's facing, how deep he goes, and command. Results show how each call played out.

★ Plays of the Day

No identified Plays of the Day on this slate — our model didn't find a strikeout disagreement with the book big enough to clear our edge threshold. The model still ran every matchup; it just didn't flag a play worth posting today. This season strikeout PODs are hitting 64% — a +15% return.

Final · 0–7

MIAaway

PHIhomeTop matchup80 Final · 3–7

KCaway

WSHhomeTop matchup41 Final · 0–12

NYMaway

CINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–3

SDaway

STLhomeTop matchup67 Final · 4–2

MINaway

TEXhomeTop matchup61 Final · 4–5

COLaway

CHChomeTop matchup77 Final · 9–3

DETaway

HOUhomeTop matchup48 Final · 2–11

PITaway

ATHhomeTop matchup63 Final · 3–4

LAAaway

AZhomeTop matchup57 Final · 3–4

TBaway

LADhomeTop matchup30

Sort

#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher strikeouts Rate28.7% K / BF

vs LHB30.3%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.1 BF

Expected batters faced23.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 14vs WSH7

May 19@ PHI9

May 26@ NYM8

Jun 3vs KC9

Jun 9@ SD7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Carson Benge (L)22.7%3.0

2. Bo Bichette (R)20.4%3.0

3. Juan Soto (L)15.2%3.0

4. Jared Young (L)21.3%3.0

5. A.J. Ewing (L)26.8%3.0

6. Marcus Semien (R)22.1%2.1

7. Brett Baty (L)25.0%2.0

8. MJ Melendez (L)27.7%2.0

9. Francisco Alvarez (R)23.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 7.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-135

BRBetRivers+112-148

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+112-142

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+116-142

We project 6.7 K vs the 7.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.9%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 17@ PIT8

May 23vs CLE6

May 29@ LAD4

Jun 4vs SD8

Jun 9@ TOR5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Liam Hicks (L)12.5%3.0

2. Otto Lopez (R)16.7%3.0

3. Kyle Stowers (L)28.8%3.0

4. Xavier Edwards (L)14.8%3.0

5. Heriberto Hernández (R)25.4%3.0

6. Owen Caissie (L)31.3%2.6

7. Jakob Marsee (L)22.0%2.0

8. Joe Mack (L)22.0%2.0

9. Javier Sanoja (R)14.5%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+108-143

BOVBovada+135-180

DKDraftKings+107-136

FDFanDuel+132-162

We project 5.5 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate24.2% K / BF

vs LHB25.9%

vs RHB22.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.6%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18vs MIL2

May 24vs HOU6

May 29@ STL2

Jun 4vs ATH5

Jun 10@ COL7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Willi Castro (R)20.8%3.0

2. Tyler Freeman (R)19.9%3.0

3. TJ Rumfield (L)16.5%3.0

4. Hunter Goodman (R)30.5%3.0

5. Ezequiel Tovar (R)28.6%3.0

6. Cole Carrigg (R)22.0%2.6

7. Jake McCarthy (L)21.6%2.0

8. Kyle Karros (R)20.5%2.0

9. Braxton Fulford (R)30.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+118-157

BOVBovada+130-170

DKDraftKings+123-158

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+132-162

We project 5.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB22.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 15vs KC3

May 21vs PIT7

May 27@ MIL9

Jun 2vs TEX9

Jun 9@ NYM6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)19.8%3.0

2. Jackson Merrill (L)22.2%3.0

3. Manny Machado (R)20.8%3.0

4. Gavin Sheets (L)22.1%3.0

5. Xander Bogaerts (R)21.0%3.0

6. Will Wagner (L)19.8%2.7

7. Ty France (R)23.3%2.0

8. Sung-Mun Song (L)22.5%2.0

9. Rodolfo Durán (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers+120-162

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+114-145

FANFanatics+110-145

FDFanDuel+126-154

We project 5.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.2% K / BF

vs LHB20.4%

vs RHB26.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18@ LAA10

May 23@ SD4

May 30vs NYY4

Jun 4@ CHC8

Jun 9vs MIL5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Spencer Horwitz (L)17.3%3.0

2. Brandon Lowe (L)24.3%3.0

3. Bryan Reynolds (L)22.3%3.0

4. Ryan O'Hearn (L)22.1%3.0

5. Nick Gonzales (R)18.0%3.0

6. Endy Rodríguez (L)22.1%2.4

7. Tyler Callihan (L)23.9%2.0

8. Jake Mangum (L)18.6%2.0

9. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)22.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-142+111

FDFanDuel-134+110

We project 4.8 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.5% K / BF

vs LHB22.1%

vs RHB24.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.2 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18@ COL2

May 24@ LAA7

May 29vs KC3

Jun 3@ STL5

Jun 10@ KC6

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Austin Martin (R)19.8%3.0

2. Byron Buxton (R)22.2%3.0

3. Kody Clemens (L)21.7%3.0

4. Royce Lewis (R)20.5%3.0

5. Josh Bell (R)22.9%2.5

6. Kyler Fedko (R)22.0%2.0

7. Luke Keaschall (R)18.3%2.0

8. Ryan Kreidler (R)18.9%2.0

9. Alex Jackson (R)26.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-170+130

FDFanDuel-162+132

We project 5.2 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.1% K / BF

vs LHB17.3%

vs RHB20.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 19vs SF3

May 24vs COL3

May 30@ SEA3

Jun 4vs LAD3

Jun 10@ MIA2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Zach Neto (R)29.2%3.0

2. Mike Trout (R)26.1%3.0

3. Wade Meckler (L)21.3%3.0

4. Jo Adell (R)23.6%3.0

5. Nolan Schanuel (L)17.5%3.0

6. Denzer Guzman (R)21.1%3.0

7. Logan O'Hoppe (R)24.9%2.4

8. Donovan Walton (L)20.2%2.0

9. Oswald Peraza (R)24.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+105

BRBetRivers-159+120

BOVBovada-160+120

FANFanatics-160+120

FDFanDuel-150+122

We project 5.1 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.6% K / BF

vs LHB22.2%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 18vs ATH4

May 23vs TEX6

May 29@ TB5

Jun 3vs COL7

Jun 9vs HOU7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Ketel Marte (L)17.3%3.0

2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)14.9%3.0

3. Corbin Carroll (L)22.4%3.0

4. Gabriel Moreno (R)18.5%3.0

5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)19.4%2.9

6. Nolan Arenado (R)24.0%2.0

7. Jordan Lawlar (R)23.3%2.0

8. Pavin Smith (L)24.7%2.0

9. Tommy Troy (R)21.9%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+114-152

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+111-142

FDFanDuel+116-154

We project 4.9 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.1% K / BF

vs LHB23.6%

vs RHB22.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.0 BF

Expected batters faced22.0

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 3 GamesStrikeouts

May 29vs MIN6

Jun 4@ HOU4

Jun 10vs LAD4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Nick Kurtz (L)23.7%3.0

2. Shea Langeliers (R)21.3%3.0

3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)17.0%3.0

4. Jacob Wilson (R)15.5%3.0

5. Carlos Cortes (L)13.1%2.0

6. Zack Gelof (R)26.2%2.0

7. Lawrence Butler (L)24.2%2.0

8. Henry Bolte (R)23.3%2.0

9. Jeff McNeil (L)17.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-150+110

BRBetRivers-139+105

BOVBovada-160+120

DKDraftKings-144+113

FANFanatics-150+115

FDFanDuel-158+118

We project 4.6 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.3% K / BF

vs LHB18.6%

vs RHB19.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 4 GamesStrikeouts

May 24@ BAL3

May 29@ CWS1

Jun 3@ TB5

Jun 9vs MIN5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)17.2%3.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.4%3.0

3. Christian Walker (R)24.0%3.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)18.6%3.0

5. Jose Altuve (R)23.0%3.0

6. Taylor Trammell (L)22.0%2.8

7. Cam Smith (R)26.1%2.0

8. Brice Matthews (R)26.9%2.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.4%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.9% K / BF

vs LHB20.7%

vs RHB23.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.7 BF

Expected batters faced18.7

From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 5vs TB1

Jun 10vs AZ4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kyle Schwarber (L)31.8%2.7

2. Trea Turner (R)24.9%2.0

3. Bryce Harper (L)19.1%2.0

4. Brandon Marsh (L)23.9%2.0

5. Bryson Stott (L)20.0%2.0

6. J.T. Realmuto (R)23.5%2.0

7. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)22.0%2.0

8. Justin Crawford (L)23.1%2.0

9. Edmundo Sosa (R)22.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BRBetRivers-141+106

BOVBovada-135+105

DKDraftKings-130+102

FANFanatics-130+100

FDFanDuel-136+102

We project 4.3 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.8% K / BF

vs LHB20.9%

vs RHB20.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 17vs AZ5

May 23@ AZ5

May 29vs SF2

Jun 3@ LAA5

Jun 10vs CHC7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)22.8%3.0

2. Alex Bregman (R)17.0%3.0

3. Michael Busch (L)23.1%3.0

4. Seiya Suzuki (R)26.1%3.0

5. Ian Happ (L)27.5%2.7

6. Nico Hoerner (R)10.6%2.0

7. Moisés Ballesteros (L)21.6%2.0

8. Matt Shaw (R)21.1%2.0

9. Dansby Swanson (R)23.8%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-155+115

BRBetRivers-162+120

BOVBovada-185+140

FDFanDuel-188+140

We project 4.6 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate21.2% K / BF

vs LHB19.1%

vs RHB24.1%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.1 BF

Expected batters faced20.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 16vs TEX7

May 23@ CHC6

May 29vs MIL7

Jun 4vs PIT1

Jun 9@ LAA5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Kevin McGonigle (L)14.6%3.0

2. Gleyber Torres (R)19.3%3.0

3. Kerry Carpenter (L)26.3%2.1

4. Riley Greene (L)26.6%2.0

5. Dillon Dingler (R)20.1%2.0

6. Colt Keith (L)21.3%2.0

7. Spencer Torkelson (R)30.4%2.0

8. Zach McKinstry (L)19.1%2.0

9. James Outman (L)31.3%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+125-160

FDFanDuel+122-150

We project 4.3 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.0% K / BF

vs LHB22.0%

vs RHB22.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 10@ DET4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Joc Pederson (L)18.8%3.0

2. Josh Jung (R)21.9%3.0

3. Wyatt Langford (R)20.9%2.8

4. Brandon Nimmo (L)22.5%2.0

5. Jake Burger (R)23.6%2.0

6. Alejandro Osuna (L)17.3%2.0

7. Cody Freeman (R)21.1%2.0

8. Nicky Lopez (L)20.7%2.0

9. Elias Díaz (R)21.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate19.4% K / BF

vs LHB21.2%

vs RHB19.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.8 BF

Expected batters faced22.8

From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.4 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. James Wood (L)28.1%3.0

2. Luis García Jr. (L)16.3%3.0

3. Curtis Mead (R)21.2%3.0

4. CJ Abrams (L)19.8%3.0

5. Dylan Crews (R)22.6%2.8

6. Daylen Lile (L)17.5%2.0

7. Jacob Young (R)22.6%2.0

8. Keibert Ruiz (L)14.6%2.0

9. Nasim Nuñez (L)24.1%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BRBetRivers+114-150

BOVBovada+110-145

DKDraftKings+123-157

FDFanDuel+118-158

We project 4.4 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate23.3% K / BF

vs LHB21.4%

vs RHB24.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.1 BF

Expected batters faced19.1

From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection4.3 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

Jun 3vs MIA5

Jun 9@ SF4

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Lane Thomas (R)22.9%3.0

2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)15.2%2.1

3. Jac Caglianone (L)24.6%2.0

4. Maikel Garcia (R)18.2%2.0

5. Starling Marte (R)24.1%2.0

6. Salvador Perez (R)19.5%2.0

7. Nick Loftin (R)17.2%2.0

8. Carter Jensen (L)22.3%2.0

9. Isaac Collins (R)23.6%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 4.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-150

BRBetRivers+105-139

DKDraftKings+118-151

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+110-134

We project 4.3 K vs the 4.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate25.4% K / BF

vs LHB23.8%

vs RHB25.9%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.2 BF

Expected batters faced14.2

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.6 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 1 GamesStrikeouts

May 20vs CLE7

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness22.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Jeremy Peña (R)17.2%2.0

2. Yordan Alvarez (L)18.4%2.0

3. Christian Walker (R)24.0%2.0

4. Isaac Paredes (R)18.6%2.0

5. Jose Altuve (R)23.0%2.0

6. Taylor Trammell (L)30.7%1.2

7. Cam Smith (R)26.1%1.0

8. Brice Matthews (R)26.9%1.0

9. Christian Vázquez (R)19.4%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate15.2% K / BF

vs LHB17.4%

vs RHB15.7%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.8%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.9 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 16vs MIA4

May 22@ NYY1

May 29vs LAA5

Jun 3vs DET1

Jun 9vs BOS2

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness21.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Shohei Ohtani (L)22.2%3.0

2. Andy Pages (R)21.4%3.0

3. Freddie Freeman (L)17.1%3.0

4. Mookie Betts (R)15.3%3.0

5. Max Muncy (L)21.5%3.0

6. Kyle Tucker (L)21.4%2.8

7. Ryan Ward (L)25.2%2.0

8. Dalton Rushing (L)24.8%2.0

9. Alex Freeland (L)23.7%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-140

BRBetRivers+104-139

BOVBovada+100-130

DKDraftKings+103-132

FDFanDuel+100-132

We project 3.9 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.6% K / BF

vs LHB21.5%

vs RHB18.2%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 29vs BOS1

May 4@ TB2

May 26vs COL4

Jun 2@ AZ1

Jun 9@ PIT5

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness20.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Yandy Díaz (R)15.8%3.0

2. Jonathan Aranda (L)23.9%3.0

3. Junior Caminero (R)18.9%3.0

4. Ryan Vilade (R)21.0%2.9

5. Ben Williamson (R)20.6%2.0

6. Austin Slater (R)24.7%2.0

7. Cedric Mullins (L)18.6%2.0

8. Nick Fortes (R)17.9%2.0

9. Taylor Walls (R)20.0%2.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Strikeout Line · O/U 3.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+130-175

BRBetRivers+118-157

BOVBovada+115-150

DKDraftKings+125-160

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+114-140

We project 3.8 K vs the 3.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate20.2% K / BF

vs LHB23.4%

vs RHB17.3%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 2 GamesStrikeouts

Apr 19@ CHC2

May 22@ MIA0

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness23.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. Blake Dunn (R)22.2%2.0

2. JJ Bleday (L)20.7%2.0

3. Sal Stewart (R)21.1%2.0

4. Spencer Steer (R)23.1%2.0

5. Eugenio Suárez (R)27.3%2.0

6. Noelvi Marte (R)20.4%1.1

7. Matt McLain (R)25.0%1.0

8. Tyler Stephenson (R)25.8%1.0

9. Edwin Arroyo (L)22.0%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Pitcher strikeouts Rate18.6% K / BF

vs LHB20.8%

vs RHB17.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.1%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.3 BF

Expected batters faced14.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · K-proneness19.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA

1. JJ Wetherholt (L)16.3%2.0

2. Iván Herrera (R)16.9%2.0

3. Alec Burleson (L)14.8%2.0

4. Jordan Walker (R)21.3%2.0

5. Lars Nootbaar (L)23.5%2.0

6. Masyn Winn (R)20.5%1.3

7. Jimmy Crooks (L)22.3%1.0

8. Blaze Jordan (R)22.0%1.0

9. Nathan Church (L)20.7%1.0

Each hitter's strikeouts rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Best MLB Strikeout Pitcher Matchups — Monday, June 15, 2026

Chase Burns (CIN) is the top strikeout start on the Monday, June 15, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K, with Zack Wheeler (PHI) right behind. Every starter on the slate is ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his whiff rate, the lineup he's facing, how deep he goes, and his command. It's the same read DFS and strikeout-prop players make before lock.

Top strikeout spot: Chase Burns

Chase Burns (CIN) is the best strikeout matchup on the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against NYM. He's missing bats at a 29% clip — strikeouts per batter faced — and NYM has been around league average, going down 23% of the time. He's lined up for about 23 batters, so the volume's there for a big number.

The rest of the top of the board

Zack Wheeler (PHI) (80) — about 5.5 K vs MIA: a 25% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
Shota Imanaga (CHC) (77) — about 5.8 K vs COL: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
Dustin May (STL) (67) — about 5.3 K vs SD: a 24% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 22% of the time.
J.T. Ginn (ATH) (63) — about 4.8 K vs PIT: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.
MacKenzie Gore (TEX) (61) — about 5.2 K vs MIN: a 23% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 21% of the time.

Whiffiest lineups to attack today

COL is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Shota Imanaga is the arm to exploit it (77).
PHI is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Ryan Gusto is the arm to exploit it (46).
DET is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Kai-Wei Teng is the arm to exploit it (45).
LAA is striking out 23% of the time in this spot — Ryne Nelson is the arm to exploit it (57).

How it played out

The top 10 starts averaged 5.9 strikeouts. Top play Chase Burns punched out 7. We grade every projection against the box score so you can see how the board held up.

How to read these strikeout matchups

Each starter's score (0–100) weighs his strikeout ability against every hitter in the lineup, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Higher means more whiffs point his way. The exact weighting is our own — we project a strikeout count and grade every start against what actually happened.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Which pitcher has the best strikeout matchup today (Monday, June 15, 2026)?: Chase Burns (CIN) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 6.7 K against NYM. A 29% K/BF arm into a lineup that whiffs 23% of the time.
What are the best pitcher strikeout props today?: The top projected-K starts on Monday, June 15, 2026: Chase Burns (~6.7 K), Zack Wheeler (~5.5 K), Shota Imanaga (~5.8 K), Dustin May (~5.3 K), J.T. Ginn (~4.8 K). The full board ranks every starter.
How many strikeouts did the top matchup get on Monday, June 15, 2026?: Chase Burns punched out 7.
How is the strikeout matchup score calculated?: It weighs each starter's strikeout ability against the specific hitters he's set to face, hand by hand, then factors in how deep he tends to pitch and his command. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected strikeout count alongside. The exact way those pieces are weighted and combined is our own model, tuned weekly against results.
Is the strikeout board about pitchers or hitters?: Pitchers. Every card is a starting pitcher, ranked by how many strikeouts the matchup sets up — his stuff against the lineup he's facing. So a higher score is good for the pitcher (and his K prop), not the hitters.
What's the projected strikeout number?: A rough expected K total for the start, from how similar matchups have gone. It's a reference for comparing starters against each other, not a promise he throws exactly that many.
What does K/BF mean?: Strikeouts per batter faced — the share of hitters a pitcher strikes out. Around 22% is league average. Swing-and-miss starters run 30%+. We split it by batter handedness, which is what a daily matchup is asking.
What is K-BB%, and why does it matter?: Strikeout rate minus walk rate — a command-adjusted read on swing-and-miss skill, and one of the most stable, predictive pitcher numbers there is. A high-K-BB% arm misses bats without handing out free passes, which keeps the strikeout upside real.
Why does the opposing lineup matter so much?: A strikeout takes two. An elite arm gets fewer against a contact lineup, and a mid-rotation guy can pile them up against a whiff-prone one. The model reads each hitter's K rate vs the pitcher's hand, so the same starter grades very differently depending on who he draws.
What's the confidence meter?: How much data backs the read — sample size on the pitcher and the hitters he faces, plus whether the lineup's official. It's a measure of how solid the projection is, not a probability.
Can I use these for strikeout props or DFS?: Yes — that's the point. The board surfaces which starters have the best strikeout conditions and projects a count. Where there's a line, we show the over/under and which side our number leans. We don't post picks — we show the data and grade it. (Best-price odds and the Plays of the Day are a Pro feature.)
Are these confirmed or projected lineups?: Strikeout projections ride on the opposing lineup, so before a team posts officially (~2 hours before first pitch) we project it from their last game, then update once it's set. A pitcher facing a still-projected lineup is flagged so you know the number can still move.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes — the full board, every game page, and the daily archive, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.