TOR @ BOS Strikeouts matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

6–1

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To RF

Dylan Cease · RHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate32.3% K / BF

vs LHB29.3%

vs RHB31.4%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.4%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection6.8 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 8vs LAA10

May 13vs TB9

May 19@ NYY9

May 24vs PIT8

Jun 9vs PHI11

Strikeout Line · O/U 6.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-140+105

BOVBovada-130+100

DKDraftKings-135+106

FDFanDuel-132+100

We project 6.8 K vs the 6.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Masataka Yoshida (L)18.0%3.0 PA

2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)19.2%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)21.9%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)25.6%3.0 PA

5Jarren Duran (L)27.7%3.0 PA

6Caleb Durbin (R)15.8%2.4 PA

7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)15.8%2.0 PA

8Marcelo Mayer (L)19.7%2.0 PA

9Connor Wong (R)23.3%2.0 PA

Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher strikeouts Rate22.4% K / BF

vs LHB19.5%

vs RHB24.0%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up strikeouts to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection5.1 K

Expected strikeouts — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Last 5 GamesStrikeouts

May 16@ ATL3

May 22vs MIN9

May 28vs ATL7

Jun 3vs BAL5

Jun 9@ TB3

Strikeout Line · O/U 5.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+120-160

BRBetRivers+114-150

BOVBovada+115-150

FANFanatics+115-150

FDFanDuel+118-144

We project 5.1 K vs the 5.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)21.6%3.0 PA

2Ernie Clement (R)16.3%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)17.0%3.0 PA

4Alejandro Kirk (R)20.6%3.0 PA

5Kazuma Okamoto (R)22.5%3.0 PA

6Nathan Lukes (L)23.1%2.6 PA

7Davis Schneider (R)26.5%2.0 PA

8Andrés Giménez (L)18.4%2.0 PA

9Myles Straw (R)21.6%2.0 PA