MatchWiz Plays
Fantasy Points · Monday, June 29, 2026

MIA @ COL Fantasy Points matchups · Monday, June 29, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
8:40 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).
?
Probable pitcher not announcedMatchups for this lineup are shown neutrally for now and will sharpen automatically once the opposing starter is posted (usually a day or two before first pitch).
Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.407

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.18554 PA
Season1.318336 PA
Last 2 Years1.540570 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX4
Jun 24vs TEX0
Jun 26@ STL7
Jun 27@ STL7
Jun 28@ STL2

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.844

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.787211 PA
Season1.990999 PA
Last 2 Years1.8603477 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.702

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.746

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.83956 PA
Season1.831349 PA
Last 2 Years1.6271218 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX8
Jun 24vs TEX23
Jun 26@ STL0
Jun 27@ STL15
Jun 28@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.815

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.868212 PA
Season1.8411280 PA
Last 2 Years1.7684424 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points8.322

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.775

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks2.11851 PA
Season1.637248 PA
Last 2 Years1.771878 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX5
Jun 24vs TEX8
Jun 26@ STL5
Jun 27@ STL12
Jun 28@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.844

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.787211 PA
Season1.990999 PA
Last 2 Years1.8603477 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points8.222

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.583

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.38050 PA
Season1.703347 PA
Last 2 Years1.5791258 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX8
Jun 24vs TEX5
Jun 26@ STL5
Jun 27@ STL15
Jun 28@ STL10

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.815

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.868212 PA
Season1.8411280 PA
Last 2 Years1.7684424 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.563

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.665

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.66742 PA
Season1.661180 PA
Last 2 Years1.759474 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX23
Jun 24vs TEX0
Jun 26@ STL0
Jun 27@ STL2
Jun 28@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.815

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.868212 PA
Season1.8411280 PA
Last 2 Years1.7684424 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.566

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.538

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.85020 PA
Season1.66745 PA
Last 2 Years1.741220 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 22vs TEX0
Jun 24vs TEX7
Jun 26@ STL7
Jun 27@ STL3
Jun 28@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.844

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.787211 PA
Season1.990999 PA
Last 2 Years1.8603477 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.161

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.830

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks2.42433 PA
Season1.739222 PA
Last 2 Years1.719249 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs TEX18
Jun 24vs TEX5
Jun 26@ STL3
Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL9

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.844

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.787211 PA
Season1.990999 PA
Last 2 Years1.8603477 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.599

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.517

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks2.2504 PA
Season1.20095 PA
Last 2 Years1.337279 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

May 24vs NYM0
May 26@ TOR0
May 27@ TOR0
Jun 26@ STL9
Jun 28@ STL7

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.844

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.787211 PA
Season1.990999 PA
Last 2 Years1.8603477 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points6.755

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.646

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.3333 PA
Season1.3333 PA
Last 2 Years2.38918 PA

Last 2 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 24vs TEX4
Jun 28@ STL0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.600

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.815

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.868212 PA
Season1.8411280 PA
Last 2 Years1.7684424 PA

Quality of Contact

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points6.806

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

COL COL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from COL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.19436 BF
Season1.615278 BF
Last 2 Years1.677647 BF
wOBA allowed.321
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 BF
Season1.503181 BF
Last 2 Years1.625557 BF
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.753

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks2.22935 PA
Season1.686191 PA
Last 2 Years1.516768 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS16
Jun 24vs BOS18
Jun 26@ MIN3
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN5

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.19436 PA
Season1.615278 PA
Last 2 Years1.677647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.563

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.617235 PA
Season1.4641088 PA
Last 2 Years1.6103011 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points8.191

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.545

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.61526 PA
Season1.429149 PA
Last 2 Years1.408515 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS0
Jun 24vs BOS14
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN8
Jun 28@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 PA
Season1.503181 PA
Last 2 Years1.625557 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.387

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.302169 PA
Season1.347897 PA
Last 2 Years1.5072889 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.365

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.826

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.90933 PA
Season1.987226 PA
Last 2 Years1.903724 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS3
Jun 24vs BOS4
Jun 26@ MIN18
Jun 27@ MIN46
Jun 28@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 PA
Season1.503181 PA
Last 2 Years1.625557 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.387

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.302169 PA
Season1.347897 PA
Last 2 Years1.5072889 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.872

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 11-game hitting streak

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.994

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks2.65735 PA
Season2.000237 PA
Last 2 Years2.000237 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS6
Jun 24vs BOS10
Jun 26@ MIN14
Jun 27@ MIN10
Jun 28@ MIN10

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.19436 PA
Season1.615278 PA
Last 2 Years1.677647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.563

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.617235 PA
Season1.4641088 PA
Last 2 Years1.6103011 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.396
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points8.216

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.630

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 22vs BOS5
Jun 24vs BOS16
Jun 26@ MIN4
Jun 27@ MIN4
Jun 28@ MIN13

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.19436 PA
Season1.615278 PA
Last 2 Years1.677647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.563

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.617235 PA
Season1.4641088 PA
Last 2 Years1.6103011 PA

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.205

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.825

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks3.43816 PA
Season1.602171 PA
Last 2 Years1.502293 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 22vs BOS3
Jun 24vs BOS5
Jun 26@ MIN5
Jun 27@ MIN18
Jun 28@ MIN2

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 PA
Season1.503181 PA
Last 2 Years1.625557 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.387

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.302169 PA
Season1.347897 PA
Last 2 Years1.5072889 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points7.269

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.715

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.65223 PA
Season1.843216 PA
Last 2 Years1.790329 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS8
Jun 24vs BOS5
Jun 26@ MIN3
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN8

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.19436 PA
Season1.615278 PA
Last 2 Years1.677647 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB1.563

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.617235 PA
Season1.4641088 PA
Last 2 Years1.6103011 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.362
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.301
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points6.958

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.4×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.730

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks3.0002 PA
Season2.85714 PA
Last 2 Years1.41891 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 19vs PIT9
Jun 21vs PIT4
Jun 22vs BOS8
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 28@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 PA
Season1.503181 PA
Last 2 Years1.625557 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.387

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.302169 PA
Season1.347897 PA
Last 2 Years1.5072889 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points6.693

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkHitter-friendly
WeatherNeutral

Batter · Fantasy Pts / PA vs RHP1.532

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.60923 PA
Season1.344215 PA
Last 2 Years1.535749 PA

Last 5 GamesFantasy Points

Jun 23vs BOS14
Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN7
Jun 27@ MIN12
Jun 28@ MIN0

Opposing Starter · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.530

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.26319 PA
Season1.503181 PA
Last 2 Years1.625557 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–4
ERA4.01
WHIP1.24
IP110.0
H / K / BB109 / 81 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · Fantasy Pts allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB1.387

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks1.302169 PA
Season1.347897 PA
Last 2 Years1.5072889 PA

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Fantasy Points6.087

A rough estimate of fantasy points to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.