MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Saturday, March 28, 2026

TEX @ PHI Home Runs matchups · Saturday, March 28, 2026

TEX
TEX
Texas Rangers
54
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI
Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft 45°F SunnyWind 18 mph, In From LF

TEX TEX Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.048669 BF
wOBA allowed.333
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 BF
wOBA allowed.309
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.038942 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.048669 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0262197 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.205
Plate Appearances73

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+525
BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BOVBovada+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Nimmo's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.030853 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.125

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOLBetOnline+600
MGMBetMGM+575
BOVBovada+575
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wyatt Langford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.055677 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.048669 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0262197 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.444
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.236

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+400
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+390
BOVBovada+385
BRBetRivers+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Corey Seager's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.046671 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+575
BOVBovada+575
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+440

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jake Burger's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.031775 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.174
Plate Appearances23

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Andrew McCutchen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.021894 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.048669 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0262197 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -21%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+1100
BOVBovada+950
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Smith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.029517 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Josh Jung's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.031327 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.048669 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.0262197 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -14%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

CZRCaesars+950
MGMBetMGM+900
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900
BOVBovada+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Evan Carter's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.036450 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.029555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–5
ERA6.04
WHIP1.49
IP85.0
H / K / BB98 / 87 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.04522 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOVBovada+725
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Danny Jansen's full player page →

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020200 BF
wOBA allowed.266
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 BF
wOBA allowed.320
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.032374 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -21%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+800
MGMBetMGM+625
BOLBetOnline+600
CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Trea Turner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.067525 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020200 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.0303099 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs4 books

BRBetRivers+335
MGMBetMGM+320
BOLBetOnline+300
CZRCaesars+290

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.042456 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020200 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.0303099 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+425
BRBetRivers+410
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BOVBovada+385

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Bryce Harper's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.032313 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+850
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650
MGMBetMGM+600
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Alec Bohm's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.038237 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edmundo Sosa's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.039308 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -21%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+575
MGMBetMGM+500
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Adolis García's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.017179 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.020200 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.0303099 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

MGMBetMGM+900
BOVBovada+850
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.024289 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs5 books

BOVBovada+850
MGMBetMGM+725
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

J.T. Realmuto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.05474 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.026340 PA

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L1–1
ERA1.71
WHIP0.62
IP42.0
H / K / BB17 / 43 / 9

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07713 PA
Last 2 Years.0284469 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

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