Last scored matchup
Josh isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Cincinnati Reds on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on total bases (45.1/100), rbis (43.6/100), hits (41.9/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
He's in a cold stretch
Josh is 2-for-27 (.074) across his last 10 games, down from .212 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 27 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.
He's a left-handed bat
Josh hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Josh has recorded at least one hit in 33 of 73 games he's batted in — 45% — with 9 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Josh is hitting .174 at home (16-for-92) and .243 on the road (27-for-111) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.
Against Cincinnati Reds
Josh is 1-for-7 (.143) against Cincinnati Reds in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 7 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Josh a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 76 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Josh was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: total bases graded 45.1/100 while triples came in at 7.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Josh and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Josh specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.