MatchWiz

Jake Burger

Jake Burger — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: rbis at 80.9/100.

Today's top board
80.9
RBIs · vs LAA
Our calls on him · hits
71%
1+ hit in 5/7 top-20 calls
Games graded
121
this season, box-score final
Jake Burger
1BBats RThrows RTexas Rangers
RBIs80.9/100proj 0.5#16H+R+RBI56.4/100proj 1.7#85Walks44.1/100proj 0.4#88Hits42.2/100proj 1#116Singles42.1/100proj 0.6#107Runs40.2/100proj 0.5#110Total Bases39.2/100proj 1.5#136Home Runs36.3/100proj 0.2#28Fantasy Points30.2/100proj 6.3#120Doubles22.4/100proj 0.2#135Triples4.4/100proj 0#192Stolen Bases0.6/100proj 0#190

Today's matchup

Today it's Los Angeles Angels for Jake, at home. He shows up on 12 boards — rbis (80.9/100, #16), h+r+rbi (56.4/100, #85), walks (44.1/100, #88), hits (42.2/100, #116). We've got him at 0.5 on the rbis board. That's one of the stronger spots on the board today. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

Recent form

Jake is 7-for-35 (.200) over his last 10 games, in line with his .234 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Jake has 21 home runs and 38 extra-base hits in 440 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Jake hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Jake has recorded at least one hit in 73 of 120 games he's batted in — 61% — with 23 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Jake is hitting .212 at home (42-for-198) and .252 on the road (61-for-242) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Angels

Jake is 1-for-17 (.059) against Los Angeles Angels in our log, over 5 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 17 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Jake's biggest night was Sunday, August 16, 2026 at ATH — 3-for-4 with 1 homer, 2 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Jake have graded

In the 7 games where we ranked Jake a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 5 times — 71%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Jake was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: rbis graded 80.9/100 while stolen bases came in at 0.6/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Jake's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs LAA00000
Friday, August 21vs LAA40000
Thursday, August 20vs WSH40000
Tuesday, August 18vs WSH41000
Sunday, August 16@ ATH43112
Saturday, August 15@ ATH31010
Friday, August 14@ ATH31113
Wednesday, August 12@ LAA40000
Tuesday, August 11@ LAA40000
Monday, August 10@ LAA51002
Sunday, August 9vs BAL21000
Saturday, August 8vs BAL31000

Jake Burger — FAQ

Who is Jake Burger facing today?

Jake Burger is hosting Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 80.9/100 on our rbis board, ranked #16.

What is Jake Burger's projection today?

We project Jake for 0.5 on the rbis board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Jake Burger graded?

In the 7 games where our model ranked Jake a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times — 71%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Jake Burger been hitting lately?

Jake is 7-for-35 (.200) over his last 10 games, against .234 on the season across 440 at-bats in our log, with 21 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Jake Burger appear on?

Jake was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — rbis, h+r+rbi, walks, hits, singles. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Jake Burger's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).