MatchWiz

Danny Jansen

Danny Jansen — today's matchup, what the model projects, and how our calls on him have graded. Top board: walks at 36/100.

Today's top board
36
Walks · vs LAA
Our calls on him · hits
record builds as games settle
Games graded
42
this season, box-score final
Danny Jansen
CBats RThrows RTexas Rangers
Walks36/100proj 0.3Runs27.2/100proj 0.4Doubles23.4/100proj 0.2Home Runs20/100proj 0.1RBIs18/100proj 0.4Total Bases17/100proj 1.3H+R+RBI13/100proj 1.4Hits12.1/100proj 0.8Singles10.1/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points9.9/100proj 5.4Triples4.5/100proj 0Stolen Bases1/100proj 0

Today's matchup

Danny is hosting Los Angeles Angels on the Sunday, August 23, 2026 slate. He shows up on 12 boards — walks (36/100), runs (27.2/100), doubles (23.4/100), home runs (20/100). We've got him at 0.3 on the walks board. The model doesn't love the spot — the numbers are below. Open any board row for the full breakdown of what's driving it.

He's in a cold stretch

Danny is 2-for-25 (.080) across his last 10 games, down from .164 on the season. Slumps this size are mostly noise at this sample — 25 at-bats is a fortnight, not a trend — and the model treats it that way, discounting the cold run rather than writing him off. If the matchup underneath is good, he'll still grade well here. That's a feature, and sometimes it's wrong.

What kind of hitter he is

Danny strikes out a lot — 43 strikeouts in 128 at-bats, roughly 34%. That cuts both ways in our numbers. It drags his floor on the hits board, since he needs contact to get there. But it barely dents the power boards, where one swing settles it — he's got 3 homers. Against a high-strikeout arm his score will fall further than a contact hitter's would.

He's a right-handed bat

Danny hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Danny has recorded at least one hit in 19 of 40 games he's batted in — 48% — with 1 multi-hit game among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Danny is hitting .138 at home (8-for-58) and .186 on the road (13-for-70) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Los Angeles Angels

Danny is 0-for-7 (.000) against Los Angeles Angels in our log, over 4 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 7 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

No graded record on him yet

We haven't ranked Danny a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — not once so far. He's appeared in 42 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.

Where he lands across our boards

Danny was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: walks graded 36/100 while stolen bases came in at 1/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Danny and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Danny specifically, we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Saturday, August 22vs LAA20000
Friday, August 21vs LAA00000
Thursday, August 20vs WSH30000
Tuesday, August 18vs WSH40000
Tuesday, June 2@ STL00000
Monday, June 1@ STL30010
Saturday, May 30vs KC31002
Friday, May 29vs KC30010
Wednesday, May 27vs HOU41000
Monday, May 25vs HOU30000
Sunday, May 24@ LAA30000
Saturday, May 23@ LAA20000

Danny Jansen — FAQ

Who is Danny Jansen facing today?

Danny Jansen is hosting Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, August 23, 2026. His strongest matchup grades 36/100 on our walks board.

What is Danny Jansen's projection today?

We project Danny for 0.3 on the walks board. That's the model's number for this specific matchup — the opposing arm, the park, the weather, and his expected playing time all feed it. It's graded against the real box score tonight.

How has Danny Jansen been hitting lately?

Danny is 2-for-25 (.080) over his last 10 games, against .164 on the season across 128 at-bats in our log, with 3 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Danny Jansen appear on?

Danny was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — walks, runs, doubles, home runs, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Danny Jansen's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).