MatchWiz

Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber — our top-20 calls on him have hit 60% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
100
Home Runs · @ ATL · 2026-10-01
Our calls on him · hits
60%
1+ hit in 15/25 top-20 calls
Games graded
157
this season, box-score final
Kyle Schwarber
DHBats LThrows RPhiladelphia Phillies
Home Runs100/100proj 0.3#1Walks93.7/100proj 0.4#3Total Bases73.9/100proj 1.7#8Fantasy Points67.5/100proj 7#9RBIs62.1/100proj 0.5#15Hits54.7/100proj 1#20Runs54.7/100proj 0.5#16Triples54.7/100proj 0#9H+R+RBI53.9/100proj 1.7#17Doubles49.4/100proj 0.2#14Singles33.4/100proj 0.6#24Stolen Bases10.3/100proj 0#21

Last scored matchup

Kyle isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 7 days ago, away at Atlanta Braves on Thursday, October 1, 2026, where he landed on home runs (100/100), walks (93.7/100), total bases (73.9/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Kyle is 8-for-34 (.235) over his last 10 games, in line with his .234 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Kyle has 46 home runs and 65 extra-base hits in 585 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Kyle hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Kyle has recorded at least one hit in 92 of 156 games he's batted in — 59% — with 35 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.

Home and away

Kyle is hitting .237 at home (68-for-287) and .232 on the road (69-for-298) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Atlanta Braves

Kyle is 4-for-11 (.364) against Atlanta Braves in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 11 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

How our calls on Kyle have graded

We've ranked Kyle a top-20 hitter matchup 25 times this season. He got a hit in 15 of them — 60%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Kyle was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 100/100 while stolen bases came in at 10.3/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Kyle's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, October 1@ ATL32010
Wednesday, September 30@ ATL51111
Tuesday, September 29@ ATL31010
Sunday, September 27vs TB42012
Saturday, September 26vs TB40000
Friday, September 25vs TB30000
Thursday, September 24vs MIL42010
Wednesday, September 23vs MIL30000
Tuesday, September 22vs MIL40000
Sunday, September 20@ NYM10020
Saturday, September 19@ NYM41010
Friday, September 18@ NYM20000

Kyle Schwarber — FAQ

Is Kyle Schwarber playing today?

Kyle Schwarber isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, October 1, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Kyle Schwarber graded?

In the 25 games where our model ranked Kyle a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 15 times — 60%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Kyle Schwarber been hitting lately?

Kyle is 8-for-34 (.235) over his last 10 games, against .234 on the season across 585 at-bats in our log, with 46 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Kyle Schwarber appear on?

Kyle was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — home runs, walks, total bases, fantasy points, rbis. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Kyle Schwarber's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).