MatchWiz

Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh — our top-20 calls on him have hit 63% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
83.6
Triples · @ ATL · 2026-10-01
Our calls on him · hits
63%
1+ hit in 15/24 top-20 calls
Games graded
151
this season, box-score final
Brandon Marsh
LFBats LThrows RPhiladelphia Phillies
Triples83.6/100proj 0Total Bases46.4/100proj 1.6Doubles38.7/100proj 0.2Hits24.6/100proj 0.9Walks24.3/100proj 0.3RBIs23.4/100proj 0.3Singles23/100proj 0.5Fantasy Points22.7/100proj 5.8Stolen Bases17.6/100proj 0Home Runs11.6/100proj 0.1H+R+RBI11.1/100proj 1.4Runs4.8/100proj 0.4

Last scored matchup

Brandon isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 6 days ago, away at Atlanta Braves on Thursday, October 1, 2026, where he landed on triples (83.6/100), total bases (46.4/100), doubles (38.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Brandon is 6-for-22 (.273) over his last 10 games, in line with his .261 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Brandon has 18 home runs and 40 extra-base hits in 509 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a left-handed bat

Brandon hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.

Floor and ceiling

Brandon has recorded at least one hit in 91 of 149 games he's batted in — 61% — with 31 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Brandon is hitting .287 at home (75-for-261) and .234 on the road (58-for-248) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Atlanta Braves

Brandon is 2-for-5 (.400) against Atlanta Braves in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 5 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Brandon's biggest night was Tuesday, September 22, 2026 against MIL — 2-for-4 with 1 homer, 3 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Brandon have graded

We've ranked Brandon a top-20 hitter matchup 24 times this season. He got a hit in 15 of them — 63%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Brandon was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: triples graded 83.6/100 while runs came in at 4.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Brandon's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.

What we'd flag

Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, October 1@ ATL10000
Wednesday, September 30@ ATL31000
Tuesday, September 29@ ATL11000
Sunday, September 27vs TB20001
Saturday, September 26vs TB31000
Friday, September 25vs TB20000
Thursday, September 24vs MIL10000
Wednesday, September 23vs MIL10000
Tuesday, September 22vs MIL42113
Sunday, September 20@ NYM41010
Saturday, September 19@ NYM20000
Friday, September 18@ NYM10000

Brandon Marsh — FAQ

Is Brandon Marsh playing today?

Brandon Marsh isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Thursday, October 1, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Brandon Marsh graded?

In the 24 games where our model ranked Brandon a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 15 times — 63%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Brandon Marsh been hitting lately?

Brandon is 6-for-22 (.273) over his last 10 games, against .261 on the season across 509 at-bats in our log, with 18 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Brandon Marsh appear on?

Brandon was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — triples, total bases, doubles, hits, walks. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Brandon Marsh's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).