MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

KC @ DET Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, April 14, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
12
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To LF

KC KC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF
Season.00013 BF
Last 2 Years.026267 BF
wOBA allowed.525
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 BF
Season.00065 BF
Last 2 Years.0171266 BF
wOBA allowed.265
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.020304 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Maikel Garcia's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.013298 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.130
Plate Appearances23

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Bobby Witt Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.032186 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Lane Thomas's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.035311 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances18

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Salvador Perez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00024 PA
Last 2 Years.033300 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.026267 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011189 PA
Season.009216 PA
Last 2 Years.0253277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Vinnie Pasquantino's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.023256 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.238
Plate Appearances21

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Starling Marte's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.05917 PA
Last 2 Years.021284 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.0171266 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028214 PA
Season.026269 PA
Last 2 Years.0294354 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Jonathan India's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.00026 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.026267 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011189 PA
Season.009216 PA
Last 2 Years.0253277 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Carter Jensen's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00012 PA
Last 2 Years.000153 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.026267 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–5
ERA4.04
WHIP1.33
IP95.2
H / K / BB93 / 77 / 34

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011189 PA
Season.009216 PA
Last 2 Years.0253277 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Isbel's full player page →

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 BF
Season.13315 BF
Last 2 Years.017241 BF
wOBA allowed.574
Hard-Hit %50%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF
Season.03231 BF
Last 2 Years.027750 BF
wOBA allowed.331
Hard-Hit %18%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.043327 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.027750 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.0254412 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Gleyber Torres's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.008125 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.13315 PA
Last 2 Years.017241 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016183 PA
Season.018223 PA
Last 2 Years.0283480 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Colt Keith's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.0008 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.13315 PA
Last 2 Years.017241 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016183 PA
Season.018223 PA
Last 2 Years.0283480 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+700
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Kevin McGonigle's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.033153 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.027750 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.0254412 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Dillon Dingler's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.030202 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.027750 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.0254412 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Wenceel Pérez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.026347 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.13315 PA
Last 2 Years.017241 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016183 PA
Season.018223 PA
Last 2 Years.0283480 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Riley Greene's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.052270 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.027750 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.0254412 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Spencer Torkelson's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0001 PA
Last 2 Years.016188 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03231 PA
Last 2 Years.027750 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.015207 PA
Season.013231 PA
Last 2 Years.0254412 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.304
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Javier Báez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.006156 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.13315 PA
Last 2 Years.017241 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L1–4
ERA4.84
WHIP1.42
IP35.1
H / K / BB27 / 45 / 23

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016183 PA
Season.018223 PA
Last 2 Years.0283480 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Zach McKinstry's full player page →