Last scored matchup
Dillon isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on home runs (47.5/100), rbis (45.8/100), hits (43.3/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Recent form
Dillon is 8-for-38 (.211) over his last 10 games, in line with his .244 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.
What kind of hitter he is
Dillon has 27 home runs and 56 extra-base hits in 550 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.
He's a right-handed bat
Dillon hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.
Floor and ceiling
Dillon has recorded at least one hit in 86 of 145 games he's batted in — 59% — with 35 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
Home and away
Dillon is hitting .228 at home (61-for-267) and .258 on the road (73-for-283) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.
How our calls on Dillon have graded
We've ranked Dillon a top-20 hitter matchup 24 times this season. He got a hit in 17 of them — 71%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.
Where he lands across our boards
Dillon was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: home runs graded 47.5/100 while walks came in at 0/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Dillon's score rates the spot in front of him, not the name on the jersey. It weighs his rates against the kind of arm he's facing — handedness matters a lot — set against what that pitcher and his bullpen give up, then adjusts for expected playing time, park, weather, and recent form, normalized 0–100 across the slate. The weighting is proprietary and re-tuned weekly; the grading is public, and that's the half that proves anything.
What we'd flag
Books don't price every player — coverage tops out around 87% even for confirmed starters, so "no line" here usually means no book posted one rather than a gap in our data. Lineups change late, and an afternoon projection can be stale by first pitch. And the model is tuned across hundreds of graded outcomes, so one game tells you nothing about whether it's working.