MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
MLB · C · Kansas City Royals

Carter Jensen

Carter Jensen — the model's read on today's matchup and how our calls on him have graded. Top board today: hits at 76.1/100.

Today's top board
76.1
Hits · vs TB
Our calls on him · hits
100%
1+ hit in 5/5 top-20 calls
Games graded
71
this season, box-score final
Carter Jensen
CBats LThrows RKansas City Royals
Hits76.1/100proj 1.2#8Total Bases76/100proj 1.8#9RBIs64.6/100proj 0.6#13Fantasy Points63.7/100proj 8.3#7H+R+RBI63.5/100proj 2.3#7Runs57.7/100proj 0.5#16Walks49/100proj 0.5#15Stolen Bases48.9/100proj 0.1#10Home Runs22.9/100proj 0.1#40

Today's matchup

Carter is hosting Tampa Bay Rays on the Thursday, July 2, 2026 slate. He lands on 9 of our boards — hits (76.1/100, #8), total bases (76/100, #9), rbis (64.6/100, #13), fantasy points (63.7/100, #7). We project Carter for 1.2 on the hits board. Tap any board for the full breakdown, and check back for the graded result once the game's final.

Recent form

Over his last 5 games, Carter is 7-for-21 (.333) with 2 homers. The full log's below.

How our calls on Carter have done

When we've ranked Carter a top-20 hitter matchup this season, he's recorded a hit in 5 of 5 games (100%). That's the honest number — graded against the real box score, hits and misses both.

How the model reads him

Carter's matchup score blends his own rates with the specific spot — the arm he faces and that pitcher's bullpen, the handedness edge, the park, the weather, and his recent form — normalized 0–100 against the rest of the slate. The exact weighting is proprietary and tuned weekly. We publish the score and grade it in the open; the record above is the receipt.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Thursday, July 2vs TB42111
Wednesday, July 1vs TB40000
Tuesday, June 30vs TB41111
Sunday, June 28@ CWS53002
Saturday, June 27@ CWS41001
Friday, June 26@ CWS41000
Thursday, June 25@ TB41112
Wednesday, June 24@ TB41010
Tuesday, June 23@ TB41010
Monday, June 22@ TB41001
Sunday, June 21vs STL32131
Friday, June 19vs STL41000

Carter Jensen — FAQ

Who is Carter Jensen facing today?

Carter Jensen is hosting Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, July 2, 2026. His best matchup grades 76.1/100 on our hits board.

What's Carter Jensen's projection today?

We project Carter for 1.2 on the hits board (home vs TB). Every board he's scored on is listed with its matchup score.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Carter Jensen done?

In the 5 games where our model ranked Carter a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times (100%). Every projection is graded against the real result.

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).