MatchWiz

Bobby Witt Jr.

Bobby Witt Jr. — our top-20 calls on him have hit 65% this season. His matchups, projections, and the full graded record.

Last scored board
85.3
Fantasy Points · vs CLE · 2026-09-27
Our calls on him · hits
65%
1+ hit in 41/63 top-20 calls
Games graded
141
this season, box-score final
Bobby Witt Jr.
SSBats RThrows RKansas City Royals
Fantasy Points85.3/100proj 8.2#5Stolen Bases82/100proj 0.3#4Hits81.7/100proj 1.2#5Singles78/100proj 0.7#8H+R+RBI60.3/100proj 1.9#20Walks59.7/100proj 0.4#17Doubles57/100proj 0.2#12Runs53/100proj 0.5#42Total Bases46.5/100proj 1.7#27RBIs43.6/100proj 0.4#64Home Runs34.9/100proj 0.1#41Triples19/100proj 0#17

Last scored matchup

Bobby isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 11 days ago, at home against Cleveland Guardians on Sunday, September 27, 2026, where he landed on fantasy points (85.3/100), stolen bases (82/100), hits (81.7/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.

Recent form

Bobby is 13-for-40 (.325) over his last 10 games, in line with his .278 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

What kind of hitter he is

Bobby has 17 home runs and 51 extra-base hits in 550 at-bats this season. That profile is why he grades better on the total-bases and home-run boards than his batting average alone would suggest — those boards reward damage, not just contact. Park and weather matter more for a hitter like him too, and both feed the score.

He's a right-handed bat

Bobby hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Bobby has recorded at least one hit in 102 of 141 games he's batted in — 72% — with 40 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Bobby is hitting .304 at home (87-for-286) and .250 on the road (66-for-264) across the season. There's not much in it, which is the normal case. Home-road splits get talked about far more than they hold up.

Against Cleveland Guardians

Bobby is 3-for-12 (.250) against Cleveland Guardians in our log, over 3 games. Worth knowing, worth not over-reading. 12 at-bats against one club is a tiny sample, and the model treats it as a minor input next to what that pitching staff actually allows to his handedness. Batter-versus-pitcher history is the most quoted number in baseball and one of the least predictive.

His best game in the log

Bobby's biggest night was Tuesday, September 22, 2026 against CWS — 3-for-4. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Bobby have graded

We've ranked Bobby a top-20 hitter matchup 63 times this season. He got a hit in 41 of them — 65%. That's the model reading him well, and it's the number we'd point to if you asked why we keep ranking him. It's also a season-sized sample on one player, which is smaller than it sounds; don't extrapolate it into a promise about tonight.

Where he lands across our boards

Bobby was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: fantasy points graded 85.3/100 while triples came in at 19/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Take the name off Bobby and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.

What we'd flag

Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Sunday, September 27vs CLE40000
Saturday, September 26vs CLE42020
Friday, September 25vs CLE41020
Thursday, September 24vs CWS41000
Wednesday, September 23vs CWS41020
Tuesday, September 22vs CWS43000
Sunday, September 20@ PIT41010
Saturday, September 19@ PIT53020
Friday, September 18@ PIT41010
Thursday, September 17@ HOU30000
Wednesday, September 16@ HOU30000
Tuesday, September 15@ HOU41000

Bobby Witt Jr. — FAQ

Is Bobby Witt Jr. playing today?

Bobby Witt Jr. isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Sunday, September 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Bobby Witt Jr. graded?

In the 63 games where our model ranked Bobby a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 41 times — 65%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Bobby Witt Jr. been hitting lately?

Bobby is 13-for-40 (.325) over his last 10 games, against .278 on the season across 550 at-bats in our log, with 17 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Bobby Witt Jr. appear on?

Bobby was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — fantasy points, stolen bases, hits, singles, h+r+rbi. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Bobby Witt Jr.'s projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).