MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Saturday, April 25, 2026

PHI @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Saturday, April 25, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
85
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 68°F CloudyWind 3 mph, Calm

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 BF
Season.02581 BF
Last 2 Years.033522 BF
wOBA allowed.225
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 BF
Season.00037 BF
Last 2 Years.036475 BF
wOBA allowed.296
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.02775 PA
Last 2 Years.029819 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.036475 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039178 PA
Season.037401 PA
Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 7 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.031351 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.036475 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039178 PA
Season.037401 PA
Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06332 PA
Season.04961 PA
Last 2 Years.050767 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.033522 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029205 PA
Season.022324 PA
Last 2 Years.0272699 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+430
BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02872 PA
Last 2 Years.033874 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.036475 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039178 PA
Season.037401 PA
Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.05671 PA
Last 2 Years.031740 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.033522 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029205 PA
Season.022324 PA
Last 2 Years.0272699 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.417
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.024884 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.033522 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029205 PA
Season.022324 PA
Last 2 Years.0272699 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.01567 PA
Last 2 Years.020803 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.036475 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039178 PA
Season.037401 PA
Last 2 Years.0294201 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00066 PA
Last 2 Years.00066 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.033522 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029205 PA
Season.022324 PA
Last 2 Years.0272699 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.0007 PA
Last 2 Years.008127 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03853 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.033522 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.01
WHIP1.23
IP98.2
H / K / BB91 / 83 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029205 PA
Season.022324 PA
Last 2 Years.0272699 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATL ATL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 BF
wOBA allowed.296
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022555 BF
wOBA allowed.221
Hard-Hit %24%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.02386 PA
Last 2 Years.043470 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037295 PA
Season.029479 PA
Last 2 Years.0244297 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.254
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances54

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.06281 PA
Last 2 Years.046432 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018166 PA
Season.022316 PA
Last 2 Years.0262378 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.185

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.06577 PA
Last 2 Years.0441023 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018166 PA
Season.022316 PA
Last 2 Years.0262378 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances36

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.199

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+320
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+265

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.025833 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018166 PA
Season.022316 PA
Last 2 Years.0262378 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.175
Plate Appearances57

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14734 PA
Season.07269 PA
Last 2 Years.035789 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018166 PA
Season.022316 PA
Last 2 Years.0262378 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances24

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.194

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.037704 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037295 PA
Season.029479 PA
Last 2 Years.0244297 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.254
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.260
Plate Appearances50

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.06316 PA
Last 2 Years.023172 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037295 PA
Season.029479 PA
Last 2 Years.0244297 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.254
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.00074 PA
Last 2 Years.037859 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.036691 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.018166 PA
Season.022316 PA
Last 2 Years.0262378 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.118
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00010 PA
Last 2 Years.028216 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.022555 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037295 PA
Season.029479 PA
Last 2 Years.0244297 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.254
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.