MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Saturday, April 25, 2026

SD @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Saturday, April 25, 2026

SD
SD
San Diego Padres
64
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Estadio Alfredo Harp HeluCenter Field 400 ft 84°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, L To R

SD SD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 BF
Season.00058 BF
Last 2 Years.024709 BF
wOBA allowed.328
Hard-Hit %60%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 BF
Season.03852 BF
Last 2 Years.037721 BF
wOBA allowed.372
Hard-Hit %51%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.04981 PA
Last 2 Years.043580 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.202

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+205
BOLBetOnline+200
BRBetRivers+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.00091 PA
Last 2 Years.041826 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.194
Plate Appearances31

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+188
CZRCaesars+186
BOLBetOnline+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.03586 PA
Last 2 Years.046762 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00058 PA
Last 2 Years.024709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.049205 PA
Season.039406 PA
Last 2 Years.0333435 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+225
CZRCaesars+225
BRBetRivers+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.02485 PA
Last 2 Years.037987 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +11%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.235
Plate Appearances34

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+225
CZRCaesars+225
BRBetRivers+215

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.04981 PA
Last 2 Years.027732 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+320
BRBetRivers+310
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.04272 PA
Last 2 Years.031808 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00058 PA
Last 2 Years.024709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.049205 PA
Season.039406 PA
Last 2 Years.0333435 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+255
BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+230

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.04025 PA
Last 2 Years.021715 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.375
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+360
CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00043 PA
Last 2 Years.018504 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03852 PA
Last 2 Years.037721 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.028387 PA
Last 2 Years.0304008 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450
BRBetRivers+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.01473 PA
Last 2 Years.027824 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00058 PA
Last 2 Years.024709 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–7
ERA6.15
WHIP1.57
IP86.1
H / K / BB109 / 52 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.049205 PA
Season.039406 PA
Last 2 Years.0333435 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances36

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

AZ AZ Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 BF
Season.07540 BF
Last 2 Years.043352 BF
wOBA allowed.436
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.05139 BF
Last 2 Years.041338 BF
wOBA allowed.299
Hard-Hit %45%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00037 PA
Last 2 Years.00076 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +12%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09133 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.052752 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.264
Plate Appearances53

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.217

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+175
CZRCaesars+174
BOLBetOnline+150

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.042911 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +15%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+205
BOLBetOnline+200
BRBetRivers+180

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.02441 PA
Last 2 Years.039232 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+250
BRBetRivers+250
CZRCaesars+245

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.031718 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.041338 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006176 PA
Season.014357 PA
Last 2 Years.0273375 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+300
CZRCaesars+290
BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 18-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.02246 PA
Last 2 Years.011266 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +14%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.04863 PA
Last 2 Years.029783 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.041338 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006176 PA
Season.014357 PA
Last 2 Years.0273375 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.235
Plate Appearances17

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+300
CZRCaesars+290
BRBetRivers+285

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.04149 PA
Last 2 Years.04149 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.05139 PA
Last 2 Years.041338 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.006176 PA
Season.014357 PA
Last 2 Years.0273375 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.332
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+410
CZRCaesars+400
BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.01759 PA
Last 2 Years.020509 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15819 PA
Season.07540 PA
Last 2 Years.043352 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–2
ERA5.76
WHIP1.45
IP29.2
H / K / BB31 / 19 / 12

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024212 PA
Season.015397 PA
Last 2 Years.0253175 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.345
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.267
Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+330
BOLBetOnline+300
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.