MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, May 1, 2026

MIL @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
61
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 66°F ClearWind 9 mph, Out To LF

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF
Season.03684 BF
Last 2 Years.051858 BF
wOBA allowed.301
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.02245 BF
Last 2 Years.035692 BF
wOBA allowed.282
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.01379 PA
Last 2 Years.028320 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.025961 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.03294 PA
Last 2 Years.032973 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02245 PA
Last 2 Years.035692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024249 PA
Season.034537 PA
Last 2 Years.0353668 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.292
Plate Appearances24

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.05887 PA
Last 2 Years.039537 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00048 PA
Last 2 Years.013710 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02245 PA
Last 2 Years.035692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024249 PA
Season.034537 PA
Last 2 Years.0353668 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.043234 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.02245 PA
Last 2 Years.035692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024249 PA
Season.034537 PA
Last 2 Years.0353668 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.018828 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.263
Plate Appearances19

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.006350 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.00069 PA
Last 2 Years.025475 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.03684 PA
Last 2 Years.051858 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L2–4
ERA5.23
WHIP1.35
IP51.2
H / K / BB48 / 58 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.046215 PA
Season.049469 PA
Last 2 Years.0352899 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.328
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 BF
Season.02678 BF
Last 2 Years.037218 BF
wOBA allowed.294
Hard-Hit %34%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.03459 BF
Last 2 Years.021192 BF
wOBA allowed.270
Hard-Hit %21%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.070100 PA
Last 2 Years.044773 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.233

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.01191 PA
Last 2 Years.038858 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13315 PA
Season.06133 PA
Last 2 Years.020196 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.03459 PA
Last 2 Years.021192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026155 PA
Season.023397 PA
Last 2 Years.0222360 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.08594 PA
Last 2 Years.039862 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.179

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.027372 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.02050 PA
Last 2 Years.012323 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.00079 PA
Last 2 Years.011182 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.007133 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.037218 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033121 PA
Season.028290 PA
Last 2 Years.0261557 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.02773 PA
Last 2 Years.009657 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.03459 PA
Last 2 Years.021192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L9–3
ERA1.46
WHIP0.77
IP99.0
H / K / BB49 / 146 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026155 PA
Season.023397 PA
Last 2 Years.0222360 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.