MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, May 1, 2026

CIN @ PIT Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
19
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 47°F CloudyWind 11 mph, Out To CF

CIN CIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 BF
Season.01284 BF
Last 2 Years.036773 BF
wOBA allowed.343
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.00053 BF
Last 2 Years.018730 BF
wOBA allowed.154
Hard-Hit %22%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.020102 PA
Last 2 Years.027849 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.01284 PA
Last 2 Years.036773 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032250 PA
Season.027487 PA
Last 2 Years.0202553 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.129
Plate Appearances31

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02245 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.024549 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.273
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.049102 PA
Last 2 Years.034994 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.01284 PA
Last 2 Years.036773 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032250 PA
Season.027487 PA
Last 2 Years.0202553 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.136
Plate Appearances22

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.181

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+430

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04050 PA
Season.067105 PA
Last 2 Years.070156 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.07481 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.035920 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.308
Plate Appearances26

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.1258 PA
Last 2 Years.035712 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.01284 PA
Last 2 Years.036773 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032250 PA
Season.027487 PA
Last 2 Years.0202553 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +13%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.329
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.03164 PA
Last 2 Years.035656 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.240
Plate Appearances25

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900
CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00063 PA
Last 2 Years.008727 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00053 PA
Last 2 Years.018730 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA4.87
WHIP1.30
IP94.1
H / K / BB90 / 73 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016186 PA
Season.014485 PA
Last 2 Years.0192979 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +9%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

PIT PIT Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 BF
Season.02677 BF
Last 2 Years.036834 BF
wOBA allowed.394
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF
Season.05357 BF
Last 2 Years.019639 BF
wOBA allowed.364
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07540 PA
Season.05197 PA
Last 2 Years.041874 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA
Season.030363 PA
Last 2 Years.0271740 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.357
Plate Appearances14

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.21

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+370
BOLBetOnline+350
BRBetRivers+310

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.06987 PA
Last 2 Years.059817 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA
Season.030363 PA
Last 2 Years.0271740 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances20

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.229

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.00048 PA
Last 2 Years.006339 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA
Season.030363 PA
Last 2 Years.0271740 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.019639 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.020441 PA
Last 2 Years.0312614 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.00079 PA
Last 2 Years.010677 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.019639 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.020441 PA
Last 2 Years.0312614 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.01377 PA
Last 2 Years.047977 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.019639 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.020441 PA
Last 2 Years.0312614 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.03488 PA
Last 2 Years.033748 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.036834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025161 PA
Season.030363 PA
Last 2 Years.0271740 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.341
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182
Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.02678 PA
Last 2 Years.02678 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.019639 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.020441 PA
Last 2 Years.0312614 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.00063 PA
Last 2 Years.016319 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.019639 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034178 PA
Season.020441 PA
Last 2 Years.0312614 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.306
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.