PHI @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Friday, May 1, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

6–5

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PHI Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF

Season.02677 BF

Last 2 Years.030295 BF

wOBA allowed.355

Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 BF

Season.06859 BF

Last 2 Years.040226 BF

wOBA allowed.366

Hard-Hit %45%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA

Season.11578 PA

Last 2 Years.071890 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.030295 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.019535 PA

Last 2 Years.0313072 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.356

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.274

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+325

CZRCaesars+265

BOLBetOnline+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA

Season.04075 PA

Last 2 Years.047760 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.030295 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.019535 PA

Last 2 Years.0313072 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.18

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+420

BOLBetOnline+400

CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.02289 PA

Last 2 Years.032881 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.06859 PA

Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA

Season.022450 PA

Last 2 Years.0293182 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+480

CZRCaesars+475

BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 8 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.032341 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.06859 PA

Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA

Season.022450 PA

Last 2 Years.0293182 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.06715 PA

Last 2 Years.032309 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.06859 PA

Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA

Season.022450 PA

Last 2 Years.0293182 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA

Season.00080 PA

Last 2 Years.021884 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.030295 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.019535 PA

Last 2 Years.0313072 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+900

CZRCaesars+850

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.01380 PA

Last 2 Years.019794 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA

Season.06859 PA

Last 2 Years.040226 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.018167 PA

Season.022450 PA

Last 2 Years.0293182 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.320

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250

Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA

Season.00081 PA

Last 2 Years.00081 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.030295 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.019535 PA

Last 2 Years.0313072 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1000

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA

Season.00034 PA

Last 2 Years.020149 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.02677 PA

Last 2 Years.030295 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L3–6

ERA4.41

WHIP1.22

IP67.1

H / K / BB54 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.019535 PA

Last 2 Years.0313072 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.315

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.099

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1000

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

MIA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF

Season.00011 BF

Last 2 Years.036692 BF

wOBA allowed.354

Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF

Season.0009 BF

Last 2 Years.022552 BF

wOBA allowed.141

Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.012255 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.036692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024168 PA

Season.021386 PA

Last 2 Years.0252561 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.00031 PA

Last 2 Years.049551 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.036692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024168 PA

Season.021386 PA

Last 2 Years.0252561 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.125

Plate Appearances8

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550

BOLBetOnline+500

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA

Season.02291 PA

Last 2 Years.023783 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.022552 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033244 PA

Season.023555 PA

Last 2 Years.0244471 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.385

Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+850

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00045 PA

Season.010102 PA

Last 2 Years.007732 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.036692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024168 PA

Season.021386 PA

Last 2 Years.0252561 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222

Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.094

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA

Season.08384 PA

Last 2 Years.032408 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.036692 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.024168 PA

Season.021386 PA

Last 2 Years.0252561 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.313

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.158

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+800

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA

Season.01284 PA

Last 2 Years.032503 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.022552 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033244 PA

Season.023555 PA

Last 2 Years.0244471 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02934 PA

Season.03878 PA

Last 2 Years.034445 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.022552 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033244 PA

Season.023555 PA

Last 2 Years.0244471 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.0004 PA

Last 2 Years.035538 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.022552 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033244 PA

Season.023555 PA

Last 2 Years.0244471 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA

Season.00044 PA

Last 2 Years.011269 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.0009 PA

Last 2 Years.022552 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1

ERA2.03

WHIP0.86

IP75.1

H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.033244 PA

Season.023555 PA

Last 2 Years.0244471 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.286

Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BRBetRivers+1050

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.