MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Saturday, May 2, 2026

MIL @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Saturday, May 2, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
41
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 58°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From LF

MIL MIL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 BF
Season.04643 BF
Last 2 Years.04643 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 BF
Season.03294 BF
Last 2 Years.03294 BF
wOBA allowed.289
Hard-Hit %29%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.00082 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042240 PA
Season.044519 PA
Last 2 Years.0403635 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00038 PA
Last 2 Years.009343 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042240 PA
Season.044519 PA
Last 2 Years.0403635 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+850
BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00031 PA
Last 2 Years.020357 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.03294 PA
Last 2 Years.03294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021192 PA
Season.033458 PA
Last 2 Years.0364125 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.08025 PA
Last 2 Years.046172 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.03294 PA
Last 2 Years.03294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021192 PA
Season.033458 PA
Last 2 Years.0364125 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+400
BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.01473 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042240 PA
Season.044519 PA
Last 2 Years.0403635 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+475
BOLBetOnline+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00023 PA
Last 2 Years.01286 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042240 PA
Season.044519 PA
Last 2 Years.0403635 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.00029 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.03294 PA
Last 2 Years.03294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021192 PA
Season.033458 PA
Last 2 Years.0364125 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1300
CZRCaesars+1100
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.03628 PA
Last 2 Years.007288 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04643 PA
Last 2 Years.04643 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.042240 PA
Season.044519 PA
Last 2 Years.0403635 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.086

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1300
BRBetRivers+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00028 PA
Last 2 Years.026305 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.03294 PA
Last 2 Years.03294 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L8–2
ERA2.93
WHIP1.04
IP98.1
H / K / BB77 / 98 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021192 PA
Season.033458 PA
Last 2 Years.0364125 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1050
CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.00022 BF
Last 2 Years.035145 BF
wOBA allowed.376
Hard-Hit %20%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 BF
Season.02774 BF
Last 2 Years.028502 BF
wOBA allowed.247
Hard-Hit %50%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08025 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.039409 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500
Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+450
CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+380

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.05040 PA
Last 2 Years.016187 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.02774 PA
Last 2 Years.028502 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029137 PA
Season.023394 PA
Last 2 Years.0212061 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750
BOLBetOnline+700
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05917 PA
Season.02638 PA
Last 2 Years.008120 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.02774 PA
Last 2 Years.028502 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029137 PA
Season.023394 PA
Last 2 Years.0212061 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625
BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00038 PA
Last 2 Years.015392 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.308
Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700
CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.004267 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.02774 PA
Last 2 Years.028502 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029137 PA
Season.023394 PA
Last 2 Years.0212061 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.310
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.084

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1300
CZRCaesars+1300
BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00043 PA
Last 2 Years.017120 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950
BOLBetOnline+900
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.00069 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.005215 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.00015 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.035145 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.026156 PA
Season.027367 PA
Last 2 Years.0271651 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.