PHI @ MIA Home Runs matchups · Sunday, May 3, 2026

PHI

Philadelphia Phillies

7–2

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

PHI Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 BF

Season.02773 BF

Last 2 Years.045549 BF

wOBA allowed.338

Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 BF

Season.05455 BF

Last 2 Years.039512 BF

wOBA allowed.371

Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA

Season.03196 PA

Last 2 Years.031815 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.05455 PA

Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA

Season.023481 PA

Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.455

Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA

Season.10685 PA

Last 2 Years.070897 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.018569 PA

Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351

Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.273

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+280

CZRCaesars+235

BOLBetOnline+225

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA

Season.03782 PA

Last 2 Years.047766 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.018569 PA

Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.364

Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.174

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+440

CZRCaesars+390

BOLBetOnline+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00037 PA

Season.01286 PA

Last 2 Years.019798 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.05455 PA

Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA

Season.023481 PA

Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA

Season.04686 PA

Last 2 Years.030733 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.018569 PA

Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.153

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+625

BOLBetOnline+600

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.02246 PA

Last 2 Years.026643 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.05455 PA

Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA

Season.023481 PA

Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.400

Plate Appearances10

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+700

CZRCaesars+700

BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.00085 PA

Last 2 Years.021887 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.018569 PA

Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+900

CZRCaesars+850

BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.05455 PA

Last 2 Years.039512 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.022185 PA

Season.023481 PA

Last 2 Years.0292803 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+600

CZRCaesars+575

BOLBetOnline+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA

Season.00084 PA

Last 2 Years.00084 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA

Season.02773 PA

Last 2 Years.045549 PA

Opposing Starter · Season9 GS

W–L0–7

ERA6.96

WHIP1.66

IP53.0

H / K / BB69 / 39 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.013230 PA

Season.018569 PA

Last 2 Years.0272735 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.327

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1500

BRBetRivers+1150

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

MIA Lineup

✓

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF

Season.02934 BF

Last 2 Years.017234 BF

wOBA allowed.277

Hard-Hit %16%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 BF

Season.018111 BF

Last 2 Years.023831 BF

wOBA allowed.317

Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.02737 PA

Last 2 Years.014358 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances15

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+800

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA

Season.02934 PA

Last 2 Years.035200 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.167

Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+625

BOLBetOnline+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.00016 PA

Last 2 Years.00016 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.02934 PA

Last 2 Years.017234 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021193 PA

Season.020404 PA

Last 2 Years.0283040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA

Season.00032 PA

Last 2 Years.025196 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+750

CZRCaesars+750

BOLBetOnline+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA

Season.0007 PA

Last 2 Years.00031 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA

Season.02934 PA

Last 2 Years.017234 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.021193 PA

Season.020404 PA

Last 2 Years.0283040 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.297

Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.034266 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.182

Plate Appearances11

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+600

CZRCaesars+575

BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.00011 PA

Last 2 Years.02193 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.0003 PA

Last 2 Years.03132 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+1150

CZRCaesars+950

BOLBetOnline+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA

Season.00024 PA

Last 2 Years.017177 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA

Season.018111 PA

Last 2 Years.023831 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–4

ERA3.88

WHIP1.30

IP97.1

H / K / BB94 / 116 / 33

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.028251 PA

Season.022491 PA

Last 2 Years.0244202 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.231

Plate Appearances13

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

CZRCaesars+1100

BOLBetOnline+900

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.