MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

BAL @ SEA Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 16, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
13
Final
SEA
Seattle Mariners
SEA
T-Mobile ParkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 405 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 11 mph, In From LF

BAL BAL Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.046175 BF
Last 2 Years.040648 BF
wOBA allowed.314
Hard-Hit %38%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 BF
Season.034146 BF
Last 2 Years.033663 BF
wOBA allowed.301
Hard-Hit %41%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01952 PA
Season.008247 PA
Last 2 Years.0381108 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.034146 PA
Last 2 Years.033663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.024166 PA
Last 2 Years.027659 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.241
Plate Appearances29

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.034237 PA
Last 2 Years.035970 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.083
Plate Appearances12

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+475
BRBetRivers+425
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.037136 PA
Last 2 Years.028651 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 6@ TOR0
Jun 7@ TOR0
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08547 PA
Season.057227 PA
Last 2 Years.0551037 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs SEA1
Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD1
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.034146 PA
Last 2 Years.033663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.024166 PA
Last 2 Years.027659 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.237

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+325
CZRCaesars+320
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.055164 PA
Last 2 Years.047257 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD1
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+500
CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA
Season.013154 PA
Last 2 Years.023563 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.095
Plate Appearances21

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09144 PA
Season.045156 PA
Last 2 Years.046672 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 11vs SEA1
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.009114 PA
Last 2 Years.019318 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 8vs SEA0
Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 10vs SEA0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.034146 PA
Last 2 Years.033663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.024166 PA
Last 2 Years.027659 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.04468 PA
Last 2 Years.030669 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs SEA1
Jun 11vs SEA0
Jun 12vs SD0
Jun 13vs SD0
Jun 14vs SD0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.046175 PA
Last 2 Years.040648 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.022184 PA
Last 2 Years.027666 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.117

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 30vs TOR0
Jun 5@ TOR0
Jun 6@ TOR0
Jun 9vs SEA0
Jun 14vs SD1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.034146 PA
Last 2 Years.033663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.42
WHIP1.01
IP100.0
H / K / BB79 / 107 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.024166 PA
Last 2 Years.027659 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.297
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

SEA SEA Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF
Season.029139 BF
Last 2 Years.035283 BF
wOBA allowed.283
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.020100 BF
Last 2 Years.038212 BF
wOBA allowed.310
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.056161 PA
Last 2 Years.025769 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 31vs AZ0
Jun 1vs NYM0
Jun 2vs NYM0
Jun 3vs NYM1
Jun 5@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.046130 PA
Last 2 Years.064902 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 9@ CWS0
May 10@ CWS0
May 11@ HOU0
May 12@ HOU0
May 13@ HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+240
BRBetRivers+215
CZRCaesars+210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00051 PA
Season.025239 PA
Last 2 Years.038992 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.020100 PA
Last 2 Years.038212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.028178 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BOLBetOnline+425
BRBetRivers+420
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10538 PA
Season.061165 PA
Last 2 Years.049448 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.214

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs3 books

BRBetRivers+550
BOLBetOnline+475
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.024166 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 3vs NYM0
Jun 5@ DET0
Jun 7@ DET0
Jun 9@ BAL0
Jun 13@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.020100 PA
Last 2 Years.038212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.028178 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04149 PA
Season.015207 PA
Last 2 Years.018397 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00020 PA
Last 2 Years.016251 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5@ DET0
Jun 9@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.020100 PA
Last 2 Years.038212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.028178 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.08658 PA
Last 2 Years.08658 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ DET0
Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH1
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00017 PA
Last 2 Years.004227 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH1
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.137

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL1
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 13@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.029139 PA
Last 2 Years.035283 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.034206 PA
Last 2 Years.038290 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BOLBetOnline+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ DET0
Jun 8@ BAL0
Jun 11@ BAL0
Jun 12@ WSH0
Jun 14@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.020100 PA
Last 2 Years.038212 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L6–2
ERA3.11
WHIP1.30
IP72.1
H / K / BB67 / 57 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.028178 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.