MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Monday, June 22, 2026

LAD @ MIN Home Runs matchups · Monday, June 22, 2026

LAD
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers
21
Final
MIN
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Target FieldElevation 828 ftCenter Field 404 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From LF

LAD LAD Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 BF
Season.039103 BF
Last 2 Years.055381 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 BF
Season.05375 BF
Last 2 Years.030328 BF
wOBA allowed.302
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA
Season.047233 PA
Last 2 Years.079977 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB1
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 20vs BAL1
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.382
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.327

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+188
CZRCaesars+186

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.049244 PA
Last 2 Years.046875 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.05375 PA
Last 2 Years.030328 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.018953 PA
Last 2 Years.0272611 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.039230 PA
Last 2 Years.036881 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB1
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.175

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+400
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.045133 PA
Last 2 Years.035733 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL1
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.05375 PA
Last 2 Years.030328 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.018953 PA
Last 2 Years.0272611 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.058208 PA
Last 2 Years.051611 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.353
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+335
CZRCaesars+305

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.022230 PA
Last 2 Years.034681 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.0008 PA
Last 2 Years.021380 PA

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.112

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.061115 PA
Last 2 Years.048229 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.06050 PA
Last 2 Years.06050 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ CWS0
Jun 15vs TB0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.021236 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 17vs TB0
Jun 19vs BAL0
Jun 20vs BAL0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.039103 PA
Last 2 Years.055381 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045157 PA
Season.029932 PA
Last 2 Years.0332601 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.340
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.0005 PA
Last 2 Years.00057 PA

Last 3 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12@ CWS0
Jun 16vs TB0
Jun 21vs BAL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07427 PA
Season.05375 PA
Last 2 Years.030328 PA

Opposing Starter · Season8 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.56
WHIP1.20
IP49.1
H / K / BB48 / 39 / 11

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034207 PA
Season.018953 PA
Last 2 Years.0272611 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

MIN MIN Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 BF
Season.08746 BF
Last 2 Years.040176 BF
wOBA allowed.441
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 BF
Season.059204 BF
Last 2 Years.048500 BF
wOBA allowed.331
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.020200 PA
Last 2 Years.032876 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX1
Jun 18@ TEX1
Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053187 PA
Season.036977 PA
Last 2 Years.0312371 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.091220 PA
Last 2 Years.075777 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 20@ AZ1
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.357
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.262

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+192
BRBetRivers+188

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~1.5× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.045201 PA
Last 2 Years.053562 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX1
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053187 PA
Season.036977 PA
Last 2 Years.0312371 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.187

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.035202 PA
Last 2 Years.042819 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ1
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053187 PA
Season.036977 PA
Last 2 Years.0312371 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.172

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.038133 PA
Last 2 Years.032597 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ1
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.028142 PA
Last 2 Years.027583 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 13vs STL0
Jun 14vs STL1
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ1
Jun 20@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053187 PA
Season.036977 PA
Last 2 Years.0312371 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044204 PA
Last 2 Years.032686 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX1
Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.01663 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053187 PA
Season.036977 PA
Last 2 Years.0312371 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.005202 PA
Last 2 Years.012343 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX0
Jun 19@ AZ0
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09111 PA
Season.06447 PA
Last 2 Years.036111 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX0
Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 18@ TEX1
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.0004 PA

Last 3 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ TEX0
Jun 20@ AZ0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1× / ~2.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.013152 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ DET0
Jun 13vs STL0
Jun 15@ TEX0
Jun 16@ TEX0
Jun 21@ AZ0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00065 PA
Last 2 Years.000101 PA

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L2–2
ERA2.58
WHIP1.40
IP31.1
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 13

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.045223 PA
Season.0331289 PA
Last 2 Years.0303537 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.