MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

KC @ TB Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

KC
KC
Kansas City Royals
125
Final
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
TB
Tropicana FieldElevation 15 ftCenter Field 404 ft 72°F DomeWind 0 mph, None

KC KC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.00051 BF
Last 2 Years.00051 BF
wOBA allowed.203
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 BF
Season.013236 BF
Last 2 Years.013236 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.01189 PA
Last 2 Years.018222 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.00068 PA
Last 2 Years.012162 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL1
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1050
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.03878 PA
Last 2 Years.041145 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL1
Jun 21vs STL2
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044203 PA
Season.0281016 PA
Last 2 Years.0303117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+430
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.03878 PA
Last 2 Years.039311 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+360

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 13-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.01565 PA
Last 2 Years.01379 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL1
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044203 PA
Season.0281016 PA
Last 2 Years.0303117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.00069 PA
Last 2 Years.016255 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs TEX0
Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.03033 PA
Last 2 Years.008120 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044203 PA
Season.0281016 PA
Last 2 Years.0303117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.02049 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ MIN0
Jun 10vs TEX0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1150
CZRCaesars+1100

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.02147 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs HOU0
Jun 13vs HOU0
Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 21vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044203 PA
Season.0281016 PA
Last 2 Years.0303117 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.021290 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs HOU0
Jun 15@ WSH0
Jun 16@ WSH0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0002 PA
Last 2 Years.00025 PA

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH1
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00051 PA
Last 2 Years.00051 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.044203 PA
Season.0281016 PA
Last 2 Years.0303117 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.305
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01380 PA
Last 2 Years.021237 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ WSH0
Jun 18vs STL0
Jun 19vs STL0
Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.013236 PA
Last 2 Years.013236 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030198 PA
Season.033975 PA
Last 2 Years.0323459 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TB TB Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 BF
Season.03197 BF
Last 2 Years.025122 BF
wOBA allowed.365
Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 BF
Season.01568 BF
Last 2 Years.01099 BF
wOBA allowed.362
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.030924 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.051218 PA
Last 2 Years.047621 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH1
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.218

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.033183 PA
Last 2 Years.039776 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.053228 PA
Last 2 Years.060837 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.212

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+320
BRBetRivers+285

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.007149 PA
Last 2 Years.011276 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ LAA0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1050
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.4005 PA
Season.02676 PA
Last 2 Years.021286 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

May 20vs BAL0
May 22@ NYY0
Jun 19vs WSH1
Jun 21vs WSH1
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.000191 PA
Last 2 Years.000519 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.059

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+2600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.000123 PA
Last 2 Years.010522 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.08

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1.2× / ~2.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.01187 PA
Last 2 Years.005182 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 7@ MIA0
Jun 13@ LAA0
Jun 14@ LAA0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 19vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.03197 PA
Last 2 Years.025122 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019160 PA
Season.0281059 PA
Last 2 Years.0273418 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.05753 PA
Last 2 Years.03780 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ LAD1
Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 21vs WSH1
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.000104 PA
Last 2 Years.003305 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.01194 PA
Last 2 Years.017357 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ LAD0
Jun 16@ LAD0
Jun 20vs WSH0
Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08312 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.01099 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L3–3
ERA5.06
WHIP1.62
IP42.2
H / K / BB42 / 39 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041222 PA
Season.0301051 PA
Last 2 Years.0263683 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.