MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

CHC @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 23, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
96
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 68°F CloudyWind 4 mph, In From LF

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 BF
Season.05654 BF
Last 2 Years.031325 BF
wOBA allowed.436
Hard-Hit %41%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 BF
Season.06760 BF
Last 2 Years.034291 BF
wOBA allowed.395
Hard-Hit %26%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 10-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09144 PA
Season.054221 PA
Last 2 Years.049904 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL1
Jun 16vs COL1
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05654 PA
Last 2 Years.031325 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.055181 PA
Season.0331081 PA
Last 2 Years.0253255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.231

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+330
CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.019257 PA
Last 2 Years.036863 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.129

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.025235 PA
Last 2 Years.048985 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05654 PA
Last 2 Years.031325 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.055181 PA
Season.0331081 PA
Last 2 Years.0253255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02638 PA
Season.041195 PA
Last 2 Years.044952 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+475
BRBetRivers+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.052232 PA
Last 2 Years.043985 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.05654 PA
Last 2 Years.031325 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.055181 PA
Season.0331081 PA
Last 2 Years.0253255 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.330
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.171

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.02871 PA
Last 2 Years.023398 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00041 PA
Season.008247 PA
Last 2 Years.0081026 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs1 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.063

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1050

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.031574 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 11@ COL1
Jun 12@ SF0
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.098

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.020197 PA
Last 2 Years.028975 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs COL0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 17vs COL1
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.036304 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5vs SF0
Jun 9@ COL0
Jun 13@ SF0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 20vs TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16712 PA
Season.06760 PA
Last 2 Years.034291 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L0–6
ERA10.08
WHIP1.92
IP27.2
H / K / BB31 / 34 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022222 PA
Season.0191126 PA
Last 2 Years.0254404 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.323
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 BF
Season.040175 BF
Last 2 Years.035650 BF
wOBA allowed.356
Hard-Hit %45%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 BF
Season.063112 BF
Last 2 Years.037539 BF
wOBA allowed.338
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.030236 PA
Last 2 Years.030236 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI1
Jun 21@ PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.145

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.016249 PA
Last 2 Years.019789 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.063112 PA
Last 2 Years.037539 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041195 PA
Season.0381032 PA
Last 2 Years.0374076 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.076170 PA
Last 2 Years.066879 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI2
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.374
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-9

Home Runs1 in 14 PA
Career Average.071
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.293

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+280
BRBetRivers+270

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.04589 PA
Last 2 Years.060134 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs ATL0
Jun 15@ CIN0
Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.019105 PA
Last 2 Years.019105 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.035230 PA
Last 2 Years.033935 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.063112 PA
Last 2 Years.037539 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041195 PA
Season.0381032 PA
Last 2 Years.0374076 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.015206 PA
Last 2 Years.032555 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0
Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 6 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.025122 PA
Last 2 Years.033366 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15@ CIN0
Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09731 PA
Season.040175 PA
Last 2 Years.035650 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031192 PA
Season.027947 PA
Last 2 Years.0323151 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+510
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.032124 PA
Last 2 Years.034536 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ CIN0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.063112 PA
Last 2 Years.037539 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041195 PA
Season.0381032 PA
Last 2 Years.0374076 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.016383 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs ATL0
Jun 14vs ATL0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.063112 PA
Last 2 Years.037539 PA

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L5–4
ERA5.10
WHIP1.40
IP72.1
H / K / BB72 / 65 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041195 PA
Season.0381032 PA
Last 2 Years.0374076 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.312
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.