MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

PHI @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
54
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 83°F ClearWind 4 mph, In From LF

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.06447 BF
wOBA allowed.496
Hard-Hit %56%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.055128 BF
wOBA allowed.406
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.029421 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs MIA0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033243 PA
Season.0341371 PA
Last 2 Years.0354022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.024211 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH1
Jun 23@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058242 PA
Season.0391251 PA
Last 2 Years.0383326 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.023130 PA
Last 2 Years.035464 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM1
Jun 21vs NYM1
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058242 PA
Season.0391251 PA
Last 2 Years.0383326 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+340

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.035311 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033243 PA
Season.0341371 PA
Last 2 Years.0354022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01758 PA
Last 2 Years.008237 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058242 PA
Season.0391251 PA
Last 2 Years.0383326 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.06

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00054 PA
Last 2 Years.015264 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033243 PA
Season.0341371 PA
Last 2 Years.0354022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.266
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.07

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs MIA0
Jun 17vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058242 PA
Season.0391251 PA
Last 2 Years.0383326 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.124

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+700
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.040252 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033243 PA
Season.0341371 PA
Last 2 Years.0354022 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.00039 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

No MLB track record yet — scored at league average, so expect more uncertainty in this matchup.

Opposing Starter · Season1 GS

W–L0–0
ERA2.70
WHIP0.90
IP3.1
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 1

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.058242 PA
Season.0391251 PA
Last 2 Years.0383326 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.265
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.047

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 BF
Season.049184 BF
Last 2 Years.050655 BF
wOBA allowed.392
Hard-Hit %37%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 BF
Season.040149 BF
Last 2 Years.032528 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %28%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05040 PA
Season.060251 PA
Last 2 Years.045924 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.378
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-11

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 6 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.319

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+290
BRBetRivers+260

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12839 PA
Season.044228 PA
Last 2 Years.042860 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB1
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI1
Jun 23vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head13-for-41

Home Runs2 in 42 PA
Career Average.309
Plate Appearances42
HR · K · BB2 · 9 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.206

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.022139 PA
Last 2 Years.015412 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-7

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.059236 PA
Last 2 Years.040869 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB1
Jun 20@ TB1
Jun 21@ TB1
Jun 22vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.352
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-23

Home Runs1 in 24 PA
Career Average.208
Plate Appearances24
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.211

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+325

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.03585 PA
Last 2 Years.031418 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB1
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.040149 PA
Last 2 Years.032528 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031196 PA
Season.0241149 PA
Last 2 Years.0224238 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.280
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-10

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.014140 PA
Last 2 Years.015200 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 12vs SEA0
Jun 14vs SEA0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.018112 PA
Last 2 Years.011182 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 5@ AZ0
Jun 9@ SF0
Jun 13vs SEA0
Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 21@ TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.052

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 9-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.010

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.000187 PA
Last 2 Years.007286 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.281
Hard-Hit %19%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.027

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+1300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.051137 PA
Last 2 Years.030296 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI1
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.040149 PA
Last 2 Years.032528 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031196 PA
Season.0241149 PA
Last 2 Years.0224238 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.14

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.026117 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SF0
Jun 10@ SF0
Jun 13vs SEA0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.040149 PA
Last 2 Years.032528 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031196 PA
Season.0241149 PA
Last 2 Years.0224238 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.277
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.038183 PA
Last 2 Years.017650 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.040149 PA
Last 2 Years.032528 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.031196 PA
Season.0241149 PA
Last 2 Years.0224238 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.324
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.066

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.036111 PA
Last 2 Years.025525 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.049

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.049184 PA
Last 2 Years.050655 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–4
ERA5.58
WHIP1.45
IP80.2
H / K / BB90 / 82 / 27

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.025730 PA
Last 2 Years.0262488 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.366
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-22

Home Runs0 in 25 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances25
HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.