MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

HOU @ TOR Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, June 24, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
31
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 60°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To RF

HOU HOU Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 BF
Season.016126 BF
Last 2 Years.012161 BF
wOBA allowed.293
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF
Season.03198 BF
Last 2 Years.024125 BF
wOBA allowed.290
Hard-Hit %27%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.039181 PA
Last 2 Years.034975 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE1
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.068252 PA
Last 2 Years.054630 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE1
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.016126 PA
Last 2 Years.012161 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0211172 PA
Last 2 Years.0253884 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.416
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.419

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+255
BRBetRivers+250

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.035145 PA
Last 2 Years.031841 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE2
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.142

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.043234 PA
Last 2 Years.035856 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.154

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.01187 PA
Last 2 Years.021336 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.016126 PA
Last 2 Years.012161 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0211172 PA
Last 2 Years.0253884 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.03587 PA
Last 2 Years.028796 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs DET0
Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.027223 PA
Last 2 Years.019579 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs DET0
Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 23@ TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.103

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.016127 PA
Last 2 Years.037163 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs DET0
Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.127

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.00013 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs DET0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.016126 PA
Last 2 Years.012161 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0211172 PA
Last 2 Years.0253884 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.054259 PA
Last 2 Years.049917 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.024125 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027220 PA
Season.0271178 PA
Last 2 Years.0294694 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.246

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ KC0
Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.016126 PA
Last 2 Years.012161 PA

Opposing Starter · Season11 GS

W–L3–3
ERA3.56
WHIP1.17
IP60.2
H / K / BB41 / 58 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034177 PA
Season.0211172 PA
Last 2 Years.0253884 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.294
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

TOR TOR Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.059204 BF
Last 2 Years.044412 BF
wOBA allowed.421
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF
Season.040150 BF
Last 2 Years.039358 BF
wOBA allowed.329
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05338 PA
Season.032185 PA
Last 2 Years.048872 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC1
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.251

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+390
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.016128 PA
Last 2 Years.025590 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.059204 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036220 PA
Season.023986 PA
Last 2 Years.0252749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.008248 PA
Last 2 Years.0351057 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ BOS1
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.345
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.050

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.054242 PA
Last 2 Years.054242 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC1
Jun 22vs HOU1
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.281

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+330
CZRCaesars+320

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA
Season.032188 PA
Last 2 Years.049596 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 3@ ATL0
Jun 5vs BAL0
Jun 20@ CHC1
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.059204 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036220 PA
Season.023986 PA
Last 2 Years.0252749 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.209

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+460
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.02836 PA
Last 2 Years.022583 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ BOS0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03754 PA
Last 2 Years.042284 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ BOS1
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.157

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+430
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.025199 PA
Last 2 Years.021729 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.059204 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036220 PA
Season.023986 PA
Last 2 Years.0252749 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.3333 PA
Season.3333 PA
Last 2 Years.033271 PA

Last 1 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.151

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.035203 PA
Last 2 Years.035856 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 19@ CHC0
Jun 22vs HOU0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.059204 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036220 PA
Season.023986 PA
Last 2 Years.0252749 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.206

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.042119 PA
Last 2 Years.042119 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10vs PHI0
Jun 13vs NYY0
Jun 18@ BOS0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.059204 PA
Last 2 Years.044412 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036220 PA
Season.023986 PA
Last 2 Years.0252749 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.365
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.182

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.01759 PA
Last 2 Years.019215 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs NYY0
Jun 16@ BOS0
Jun 17@ BOS0
Jun 20@ CHC0
Jun 23vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.040150 PA
Last 2 Years.039358 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L3–8
ERA5.48
WHIP1.50
IP85.1
H / K / BB97 / 69 / 31

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.029210 PA
Season.029906 PA
Last 2 Years.0353327 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.