MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

PHI @ WSH Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
105
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
WSH
Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft 86°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 BF
Season.019206 BF
Last 2 Years.024330 BF
wOBA allowed.361
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.014143 BF
Last 2 Years.021238 BF
wOBA allowed.289
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.027223 PA
Last 2 Years.030928 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.014143 PA
Last 2 Years.021238 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA
Season.0361159 PA
Last 2 Years.0363790 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.075

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11127 PA
Season.093204 PA
Last 2 Years.076889 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM3
Jun 21vs NYM1
Jun 22@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.377
Hard-Hit %44%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.512

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+240
CZRCaesars+205

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09432 PA
Season.070199 PA
Last 2 Years.052763 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM1
Jun 21vs NYM1
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.392
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.348

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+380
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05934 PA
Season.043209 PA
Last 2 Years.035771 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH1
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.217

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.025202 PA
Last 2 Years.020783 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.014143 PA
Last 2 Years.021238 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA
Season.0361159 PA
Last 2 Years.0363790 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.027219 PA
Last 2 Years.027894 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs1 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.034148 PA
Last 2 Years.029678 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.014143 PA
Last 2 Years.021238 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA
Season.0361159 PA
Last 2 Years.0363790 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 8 PA
Career Average.125
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs MIA0
Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.010197 PA
Last 2 Years.010197 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.019206 PA
Last 2 Years.024330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056198 PA
Season.043971 PA
Last 2 Years.0402912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.068

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1100
BRBetRivers+1000

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.030265 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.014143 PA
Last 2 Years.021238 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.032216 PA
Season.0361159 PA
Last 2 Years.0363790 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.326
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

WSH WSH Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 BF
Season.010104 BF
Last 2 Years.011370 BF
wOBA allowed.161
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 BF
Season.019320 BF
Last 2 Years.0191290 BF
wOBA allowed.306
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.041121 PA
Last 2 Years.038473 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.242

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+540
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.14314 PA
Season.05493 PA
Last 2 Years.025236 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI1
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.169

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00040 PA
Last 2 Years.015132 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SF0
Jun 10@ SF0
Jun 13vs SEA0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.05735 PA
Last 2 Years.032156 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB1
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.00096 PA
Last 2 Years.012173 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.063

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1000
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.01374 PA
Last 2 Years.004269 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.051

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1050
CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00071 PA
Last 2 Years.015131 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+1500
BRBetRivers+1200

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.00028 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs SEA0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI1
Jun 24vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+1300
CZRCaesars+1300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.03361 PA
Last 2 Years.020197 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 23vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-7

Home Runs0 in 7 PA
Career Average.143
Plate Appearances7
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.07726 PA
Last 2 Years.015200 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 22vs PHI1
Jun 23vs PHI1
Jun 24vs PHI1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-12

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0005 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.00077 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs KC0
Jun 19@ TB0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.072

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10010 PA
Season.03392 PA
Last 2 Years.023393 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ TB1
Jun 20@ TB1
Jun 21@ TB1
Jun 22vs PHI0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.010104 PA
Last 2 Years.011370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050181 PA
Season.032810 PA
Last 2 Years.0342773 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.234
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-19

Home Runs0 in 21 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances21
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.128

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.00014 PA
Last 2 Years.00035 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ SF0
Jun 13vs SEA0
Jun 16vs KC0
Jun 21@ TB0
Jun 24vs PHI0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07938 PA
Season.019320 PA
Last 2 Years.0191290 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L9–3
ERA2.13
WHIP1.11
IP110.0
H / K / BB101 / 127 / 21

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023174 PA
Season.028978 PA
Last 2 Years.0243476 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.