MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Thursday, June 25, 2026

CHC @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Thursday, June 25, 2026

CHC
CHC
Chicago Cubs
43
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 76°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF

CHC CHC Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 BF
Season.044247 BF
Last 2 Years.028817 BF
wOBA allowed.352
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 BF
Season.008129 BF
Last 2 Years.038665 BF
wOBA allowed.294
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 13-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.052

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11444 PA
Season.058226 PA
Last 2 Years.050904 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR1
Jun 23@ NYM1
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044247 PA
Last 2 Years.028817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056161 PA
Season.033923 PA
Last 2 Years.0252799 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.373
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-13

Home Runs1 in 15 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances15
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.344

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+320
BRBetRivers+260

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.036112 PA
Last 2 Years.033738 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 10@ COL0
Jun 14@ SF0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044247 PA
Last 2 Years.028817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056161 PA
Season.033923 PA
Last 2 Years.0252799 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Home Runs0 in 12 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances12
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.025238 PA
Last 2 Years.048984 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044247 PA
Last 2 Years.028817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056161 PA
Season.033923 PA
Last 2 Years.0252799 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-19

Home Runs2 in 23 PA
Career Average.087
Plate Appearances23
HR · K · BB2 · 8 · 4

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.211

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+440
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02343 PA
Season.019261 PA
Last 2 Years.036859 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.038665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.0231115 PA
Last 2 Years.0244087 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.051235 PA
Last 2 Years.043984 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044247 PA
Last 2 Years.028817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056161 PA
Season.033923 PA
Last 2 Years.0252799 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.355
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-34

Home Runs2 in 41 PA
Career Average.073
Plate Appearances41
HR · K · BB2 · 14 · 7

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.247

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+430
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.008250 PA
Last 2 Years.0081024 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.038665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.0231115 PA
Last 2 Years.0244087 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-31

Home Runs1 in 34 PA
Career Average.147
Plate Appearances34
HR · K · BB1 · 5 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.041

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06844 PA
Season.044247 PA
Last 2 Years.028817 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.056161 PA
Season.033923 PA
Last 2 Years.0252799 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.322
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.03879 PA
Last 2 Years.036302 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 9@ COL0
Jun 13@ SF0
Jun 16vs COL0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.038665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.0231115 PA
Last 2 Years.0244087 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.337
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.025200 PA
Last 2 Years.029974 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM1
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM2

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.038665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.0231115 PA
Last 2 Years.0244087 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-22

Home Runs1 in 24 PA
Career Average.083
Plate Appearances24
HR · K · BB1 · 9 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.040198 PA
Last 2 Years.044950 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs TOR0
Jun 20vs TOR0
Jun 23@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0
Jun 24@ NYM0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00023 PA
Season.008129 PA
Last 2 Years.038665 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.53
WHIP1.37
IP91.1
H / K / BB90 / 88 / 35

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.035229 PA
Season.0231115 PA
Last 2 Years.0244087 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-24

Home Runs1 in 30 PA
Career Average.100
Plate Appearances30
HR · K · BB1 · 12 · 5

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.207

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 BF
Last 2 Years.017233 BF
wOBA allowed.178
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 BF
Last 2 Years.028751 BF
wOBA allowed.346
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.03360 PA
Last 2 Years.03360 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI1
Jun 21@ PHI1
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.04687 PA
Last 2 Years.047235 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.229

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA
Season.04687 PA
Last 2 Years.053468 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 18@ PHI2
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.356
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-8

Home Runs1 in 9 PA
Career Average.111
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB1 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.244

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.15413 PA
Season.04982 PA
Last 2 Years.043304 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI1
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.211

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.044160 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.327
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.18

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+330

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.00039 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.270
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.072

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00044 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Apr 28vs WSH0
Apr 29vs WSH0
Apr 30vs WSH0
May 1@ LAA1
May 2@ LAA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.248
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.073

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.09111 PA
Last 2 Years.03459 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.023130 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.081

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.00011 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.00019 PA
Last 2 Years.017233 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.037162 PA
Season.032817 PA
Last 2 Years.0302783 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.269
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.109

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.01378 PA
Last 2 Years.017295 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-11

Home Runs1 in 14 PA
Career Average.214
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 3

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.000146 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs ATL0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02581 PA
Last 2 Years.028751 PA

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–1
ERA5.02
WHIP1.36
IP28.2
H / K / BB29 / 35 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.053170 PA
Season.042922 PA
Last 2 Years.0393675 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.313
Hard-Hit % Allowed33%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.