MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

PHI @ NYM Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
21
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 81°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, Out To RF

PHI PHI Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.009115 PA
Last 2 Years.029421 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA
Season.0231002 PA
Last 2 Years.0293639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+510

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.067

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11526 PA
Season.075133 PA
Last 2 Years.073521 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM3
Jun 21vs NYM1
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.391
Hard-Hit %43%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.433

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+245
CZRCaesars+210

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.023130 PA
Last 2 Years.035464 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM1
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.17

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.04198 PA
Last 2 Years.035311 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA
Season.0231002 PA
Last 2 Years.0293639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.167

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.024211 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH1
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.106

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.05474 PA
Last 2 Years.051197 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH1
Jun 25@ WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA
Season.0231002 PA
Last 2 Years.0293639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.22

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+550

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00054 PA
Last 2 Years.015264 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA
Season.0231002 PA
Last 2 Years.0293639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.266
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.01758 PA
Last 2 Years.008237 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.06

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.040252 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 21vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH1
Jun 24@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025200 PA
Season.0231002 PA
Last 2 Years.0293639 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs NYM0
Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00039 PA
Last 2 Years.00039 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs NYM0
Jun 22@ WSH0
Jun 23@ WSH0
Jun 24@ WSH0
Jun 25@ WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA4.36
WHIP1.16
IP10.1
H / K / BB9 / 10 / 3

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.050179 PA
Season.0351056 PA
Last 2 Years.0273232 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.265
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.051

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

NYM NYM Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 BF
Season.039155 BF
Last 2 Years.037694 BF
wOBA allowed.279
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.019104 BF
Last 2 Years.020544 BF
wOBA allowed.208
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.029241 PA
Last 2 Years.029241 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI1
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.064

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.076172 PA
Last 2 Years.066875 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18@ PHI2
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.412
Hard-Hit %45%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head14-for-51

Home Runs2 in 67 PA
Career Average.209
Plate Appearances67
HR · K · BB2 · 13 · 16

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.461

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+330
BRBetRivers+310

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.09343 PA
Season.020254 PA
Last 2 Years.020794 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.019104 PA
Last 2 Years.020544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.0261194 PA
Last 2 Years.0234222 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.236
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-14

Home Runs0 in 14 PA
Career Average.214
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.02677 PA
Last 2 Years.046847 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Apr 18@ CHC0
Apr 19@ CHC0
Apr 21vs MIN1
Apr 22vs MIN0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head9-for-34

Home Runs1 in 37 PA
Career Average.243
Plate Appearances37
HR · K · BB1 · 8 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.21

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.04392 PA
Last 2 Years.058137 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 25vs CHC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.207

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.5× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.019107 PA
Last 2 Years.019107 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season.03826 PA
Last 2 Years.041172 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Apr 29vs WSH0
Apr 30vs WSH0
May 1@ LAA1
May 2@ LAA0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.014209 PA
Last 2 Years.032558 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-14

Home Runs1 in 14 PA
Career Average.286
Plate Appearances14
HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.010103 PA
Last 2 Years.016383 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs ATL0
Jun 17@ CIN0
Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 24vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.019104 PA
Last 2 Years.020544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.0261194 PA
Last 2 Years.0234222 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.277
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.236
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.068

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.035144 PA
Last 2 Years.047718 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI1
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.019104 PA
Last 2 Years.020544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.0261194 PA
Last 2 Years.0234222 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.291
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.236
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06929 PA
Season.039128 PA
Last 2 Years.034534 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 24vs CHC1
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.019104 PA
Last 2 Years.020544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.038185 PA
Season.0261194 PA
Last 2 Years.0234222 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.236
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.165

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.033363 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ PHI0
Jun 21@ PHI0
Jun 23vs CHC0
Jun 24vs CHC0
Jun 25vs CHC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.039155 PA
Last 2 Years.037694 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.03
WHIP0.86
IP75.1
H / K / BB46 / 74 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.047149 PA
Season.028759 PA
Last 2 Years.0292449 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.294
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed31%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.