MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

HOU @ DET Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
08
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
DET
Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft 73°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From LF

HOU HOU Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 BF
Season.032189 BF
Last 2 Years.043579 BF
wOBA allowed.273
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 BF
Season.023133 BF
Last 2 Years.032525 BF
wOBA allowed.272
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.035145 PA
Last 2 Years.031841 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.341
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+525

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.055

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.068252 PA
Last 2 Years.054630 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CLE1
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.032189 PA
Last 2 Years.043579 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039154 PA
Season.023777 PA
Last 2 Years.0242508 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.416
Hard-Hit %46%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.388

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+240
CZRCaesars+220

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02639 PA
Season.043234 PA
Last 2 Years.035856 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02442 PA
Season.054259 PA
Last 2 Years.049917 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.21

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+350
CZRCaesars+350

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05437 PA
Season.039181 PA
Last 2 Years.034975 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.12

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+480

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.01187 PA
Last 2 Years.021336 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.032189 PA
Last 2 Years.043579 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039154 PA
Season.023777 PA
Last 2 Years.0242508 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.083

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.03587 PA
Last 2 Years.028796 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CLE0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1
Jun 24@ TOR0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+650
CZRCaesars+625

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.027223 PA
Last 2 Years.019579 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 23@ TOR1
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.298
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.01376 PA
Last 2 Years.021195 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 20vs CLE0
Jun 22@ TOR0
Jun 23@ TOR1
Jun 25@ DET1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.032189 PA
Last 2 Years.043579 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039154 PA
Season.023777 PA
Last 2 Years.0242508 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.023131 PA
Last 2 Years.020401 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 15vs DET0
Jun 17vs DET0
Jun 21vs CLE0
Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 25@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.032525 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L4–5
ERA3.39
WHIP0.99
IP87.2
H / K / BB69 / 56 / 18

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.040224 PA
Season.0271048 PA
Last 2 Years.0264333 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.059

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

DET DET Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 BF
Season.018167 BF
Last 2 Years.025438 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF
Season.024126 BF
Last 2 Years.038370 BF
wOBA allowed.275
Hard-Hit %31%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.017241 PA
Last 2 Years.017241 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.368
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+500
BRBetRivers+460

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07043 PA
Season.068207 PA
Last 2 Years.037617 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS1
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.038370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034205 PA
Season.027952 PA
Last 2 Years.0303252 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.223

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05735 PA
Season.062162 PA
Last 2 Years.062682 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.249

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+390
BRBetRivers+335

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.031229 PA
Last 2 Years.052868 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY1
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Home Runs3 in 5 PA
Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB3 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.212

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+370
BRBetRivers+300

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.048229 PA
Last 2 Years.045799 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.038370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034205 PA
Season.027952 PA
Last 2 Years.0303252 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -5%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.181

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+450
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.6× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12133 PA
Season.019212 PA
Last 2 Years.029892 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.750
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.134

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.013152 PA
Last 2 Years.022718 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.023133 PA
Last 2 Years.019422 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs CWS0
Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.038370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034205 PA
Season.027952 PA
Last 2 Years.0303252 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.263
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.062

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.01470 PA
Last 2 Years.034205 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ HOU0
Jun 20vs CWS0
Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08635 PA
Season.018167 PA
Last 2 Years.025438 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030203 PA
Season.0331049 PA
Last 2 Years.0292865 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.262
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.01758 PA
Last 2 Years.01758 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CWS0
Jun 22vs NYY0
Jun 23vs NYY0
Jun 24vs NYY0
Jun 25vs HOU0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.024126 PA
Last 2 Years.038370 PA

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034205 PA
Season.027952 PA
Last 2 Years.0303252 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.