MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Friday, June 26, 2026

NYY @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Friday, June 26, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
16
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 78°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 BF
Season.05376 BF
Last 2 Years.05591 BF
wOBA allowed.315
Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 BF
Season.011185 BF
Last 2 Years.025244 BF
wOBA allowed.263
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.050

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05020 PA
Season.07185 PA
Last 2 Years.051333 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET2
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.422
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.296

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+410
CZRCaesars+370

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.04076 PA
Last 2 Years.028251 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+550
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04025 PA
Season.036111 PA
Last 2 Years.038372 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.05591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023128 PA
Season.029584 PA
Last 2 Years.0262148 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.163

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+500
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.007152 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.300
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.076

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+500

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.03977 PA
Last 2 Years.029273 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+650

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.037351 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET1
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.05591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023128 PA
Season.029584 PA
Last 2 Years.0262148 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+480
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.022314 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+575
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs CWS0
Jun 19vs CIN0
Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 23@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.05591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023128 PA
Season.029584 PA
Last 2 Years.0262148 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+575
CZRCaesars+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.00013 PA
Last 2 Years.00050 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02050 PA
Season.011185 PA
Last 2 Years.025244 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034175 PA
Season.028932 PA
Last 2 Years.0253369 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.292
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.050100 PA
Last 2 Years.051256 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN1
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.05591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023128 PA
Season.029584 PA
Last 2 Years.0262148 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.325
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.178

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.01758 PA
Last 2 Years.028253 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.046

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08324 PA
Season.05376 PA
Last 2 Years.05591 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5
ERA2.78
WHIP1.02
IP71.1
H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023128 PA
Season.029584 PA
Last 2 Years.0262148 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.273
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.325
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.093

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.028178 BF
Last 2 Years.030627 BF
wOBA allowed.325
Hard-Hit %28%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 BF
Season.018162 BF
Last 2 Years.030534 BF
wOBA allowed.297
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.00097 PA
Last 2 Years.011190 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.023219 PA
Last 2 Years.023857 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.018162 PA
Last 2 Years.030534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019214 PA
Season.0251093 PA
Last 2 Years.0313947 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.108

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.035231 PA
Last 2 Years.046796 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ SEA1
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL1
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.209

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+400
BRBetRivers+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05951 PA
Season.047236 PA
Last 2 Years.040823 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.018162 PA
Last 2 Years.030534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019214 PA
Season.0251093 PA
Last 2 Years.0313947 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.2

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+425
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04346 PA
Season.046239 PA
Last 2 Years.035986 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-8

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.222
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.183

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+475

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.021189 PA
Last 2 Years.020562 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.018162 PA
Last 2 Years.030534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019214 PA
Season.0251093 PA
Last 2 Years.0313947 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00016 PA
Last 2 Years.00085 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.073

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs1 book

CZRCaesars+950

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.00072 PA
Last 2 Years.010406 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs TOR0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.018162 PA
Last 2 Years.030534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019214 PA
Season.0251093 PA
Last 2 Years.0313947 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years.0006 PA

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.285
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.007149 PA
Last 2 Years.022538 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-4

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.600
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.017117 PA
Last 2 Years.029442 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03033 PA
Season.018162 PA
Last 2 Years.030534 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.019214 PA
Season.0251093 PA
Last 2 Years.0313947 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.311
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs1 in 8 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances8
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherHelping

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.016

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.005205 PA
Last 2 Years.016314 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.028178 PA
Last 2 Years.030627 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–3
ERA3.75
WHIP1.36
IP84.0
H / K / BB85 / 84 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033180 PA
Season.024884 PA
Last 2 Years.0252700 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.274
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.339
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.048

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.