MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Saturday, June 27, 2026

NYY @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Saturday, June 27, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
14
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 75°F SunnyWind 9 mph, In From RF

NYY NYY Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.057

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12025 PA
Season.08495 PA
Last 2 Years.055343 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET2
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.436
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.321

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+525
CZRCaesars+425

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00029 PA
Season.046109 PA
Last 2 Years.049263 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022181 PA
Season.030703 PA
Last 2 Years.0262261 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.159

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+475
CZRCaesars+400

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03782 PA
Last 2 Years.027257 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.033121 PA
Last 2 Years.037379 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022181 PA
Season.030703 PA
Last 2 Years.0262261 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.350
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.135

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+600
CZRCaesars+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.02935 PA
Last 2 Years.012162 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET1
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.04785 PA
Last 2 Years.032281 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS1
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+850
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.00021 PA
Last 2 Years.007140 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14@ TOR0
Jun 16vs CWS0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.062

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+800
CZRCaesars+750

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.022316 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+750
BRBetRivers+540

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.01662 PA
Last 2 Years.027256 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022181 PA
Season.030703 PA
Last 2 Years.0262261 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.264
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+625
BRBetRivers+600

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00025 PA
Season.028107 PA
Last 2 Years.037355 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 23@ DET1
Jun 24@ DET0
Jun 25@ BOS0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022181 PA
Season.030703 PA
Last 2 Years.0262261 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19vs CIN0
Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 23@ DET0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022181 PA
Season.030703 PA
Last 2 Years.0262261 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00010 PA
Season.00015 PA
Last 2 Years.00052 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs CWS0
Jun 20vs CIN0
Jun 21vs CIN0
Jun 22@ DET0
Jun 26@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season6 GS

W–L2–3
ERA3.27
WHIP1.06
IP33.0
H / K / BB28 / 25 / 7

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030262 PA
Season.0251182 PA
Last 2 Years.0253633 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.296
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS BOS Lineup

Confirmed lineupOfficial batting order is set.

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 BF
Season.04394 BF
Last 2 Years.026302 BF
wOBA allowed.308
Hard-Hit %32%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.02442 BF
Last 2 Years.021187 BF
wOBA allowed.316
Hard-Hit %17%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.006153 PA
Last 2 Years.022535 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17vs TOR0
Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-10

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.300
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.091

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+850
BRBetRivers+800

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.022227 PA
Last 2 Years.023857 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.021187 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024254 PA
Season.0241271 PA
Last 2 Years.0304334 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+750
CZRCaesars+700

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.034238 PA
Last 2 Years.046795 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL1
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.19

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+425
BRBetRivers+410

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.044

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08050 PA
Season.049243 PA
Last 2 Years.041826 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.021187 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024254 PA
Season.0241271 PA
Last 2 Years.0304334 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.359
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.187

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+410
CZRCaesars+390

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.4×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04445 PA
Season.045245 PA
Last 2 Years.036983 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-17

Home Runs0 in 20 PA
Career Average.150
Plate Appearances20
HR · K · BB0 · 10 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+525
BRBetRivers+450

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.025197 PA
Last 2 Years.021570 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY1
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.021187 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024254 PA
Season.0241271 PA
Last 2 Years.0304334 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

BRBetRivers+900
CZRCaesars+850

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.00025 PA
Last 2 Years.00094 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+950
BRBetRivers+900

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.017121 PA
Last 2 Years.029446 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 14vs TEX0
Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.021187 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024254 PA
Season.0241271 PA
Last 2 Years.0304334 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.286
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Book Lines · Over 0.5 Home Runs2 books

CZRCaesars+700
BRBetRivers+575

Display only — sportsbook lines for the binary “does it happen” market, best payout first. Not betting advice.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA
Season.0004 PA
Last 2 Years.00010 PA

Last 1 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00033 PA
Season.000101 PA
Last 2 Years.010194 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 19@ SEA0
Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.04394 PA
Last 2 Years.026302 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.022179 PA
Season.0211023 PA
Last 2 Years.0253066 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.296
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.068

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherWorking against

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.013

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.00077 PA
Last 2 Years.010410 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21@ SEA0
Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 23@ COL0
Jun 24@ COL1
Jun 26vs NYY0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.021187 PA

Opposing Starter · Season7 GS

W–L2–3
ERA4.06
WHIP1.22
IP37.2
H / K / BB36 / 34 / 10

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.024254 PA
Season.0241271 PA
Last 2 Years.0304334 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.302
Hard-Hit % Allowed27%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs1 in 4 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.048

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.