MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

WSH @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Tuesday, June 30, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
vs
7:10 PM EDT
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft

WSH WSH Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 BF
Season.039102 BF
Last 2 Years.032124 BF
wOBA allowed.266
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 BF
Season.040273 BF
Last 2 Years.033330 BF
wOBA allowed.343
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.038131 PA
Last 2 Years.037483 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.032124 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027146 PA
Season.028605 PA
Last 2 Years.0262141 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.193

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00047 PA
Last 2 Years.014139 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ TB0
Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.307
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10020 PA
Season.058103 PA
Last 2 Years.029246 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI1
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.16

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.03198 PA
Last 2 Years.023394 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.032124 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027146 PA
Season.028605 PA
Last 2 Years.0262141 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.105

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.04544 PA
Last 2 Years.030165 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.332
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.162

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00011 PA
Season.01379 PA
Last 2 Years.004269 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.288
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.051

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.07427 PA
Last 2 Years.015197 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs PHI1
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL1
Jun 28@ BAL2
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.039102 PA
Last 2 Years.032124 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.027146 PA
Season.028605 PA
Last 2 Years.0262141 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.275
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.113

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.00077 PA
Last 2 Years.015136 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs PHI0
Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 27@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.347
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.063

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.03067 PA
Last 2 Years.020201 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs PHI0
Jun 25vs PHI0
Jun 26@ BAL0
Jun 28@ BAL0
Jun 29@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06348 PA
Season.040273 PA
Last 2 Years.033330 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–5
ERA3.59
WHIP1.25
IP87.2
H / K / BB78 / 88 / 32

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.025198 PA
Season.020914 PA
Last 2 Years.0243305 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.083

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS BOS Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 BF
Season.022222 BF
Last 2 Years.026346 BF
wOBA allowed.359
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 BF
Season.013152 BF
Last 2 Years.020247 BF
wOBA allowed.282
Hard-Hit %34%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.013156 PA
Last 2 Years.024536 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY1
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.022222 PA
Last 2 Years.026346 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA
Season.045905 PA
Last 2 Years.0432609 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.326
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.114

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00046 PA
Season.022231 PA
Last 2 Years.023859 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.013152 PA
Last 2 Years.020247 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0361086 PA
Last 2 Years.0352937 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.089

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02344 PA
Season.033242 PA
Last 2 Years.046798 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.022222 PA
Last 2 Years.026346 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA
Season.045905 PA
Last 2 Years.0432609 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.319
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.194

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06149 PA
Season.049247 PA
Last 2 Years.041822 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY1
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.013152 PA
Last 2 Years.020247 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0361086 PA
Last 2 Years.0352937 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.360
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.195

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.044249 PA
Last 2 Years.035985 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.022222 PA
Last 2 Years.026346 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA
Season.045905 PA
Last 2 Years.0432609 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.318
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.168

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07341 PA
Season.025201 PA
Last 2 Years.021574 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY1
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.013152 PA
Last 2 Years.020247 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0361086 PA
Last 2 Years.0352937 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.095

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04323 PA
Season.03727 PA
Last 2 Years.01096 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY1
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.022222 PA
Last 2 Years.026346 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA
Season.045905 PA
Last 2 Years.0432609 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.016123 PA
Last 2 Years.029448 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 20@ SEA0
Jun 24@ COL0
Jun 25vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.013152 PA
Last 2 Years.020247 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.036224 PA
Season.0361086 PA
Last 2 Years.0352937 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.319
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00012 PA

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0
Jun 27vs NYY0
Jun 28vs NYY0
Jun 29vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04941 PA
Season.022222 PA
Last 2 Years.026346 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L4–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.43
IP83.1
H / K / BB90 / 89 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039180 PA
Season.045905 PA
Last 2 Years.0432609 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.338
Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.111

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.