MatchWiz Plays
Home Runs · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

TB @ KC Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
7:40 PM EDT
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 BF
Season.012245 BF
Last 2 Years.034827 BF
wOBA allowed.341
Hard-Hit %40%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 BF
Season.051136 BF
Last 2 Years.029561 BF
wOBA allowed.334
Hard-Hit %32%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.033241 PA
Last 2 Years.028920 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-10

Home Runs1 in 10 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.184

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05139 PA
Season.049243 PA
Last 2 Years.046646 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ1
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.012245 PA
Last 2 Years.034827 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011190 PA
Season.031927 PA
Last 2 Years.0242387 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.387
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-9

Home Runs0 in 9 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances9
HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.266

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.068

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.16742 PA
Season.074255 PA
Last 2 Years.066864 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs KC3
Jun 26vs AZ1
Jun 27vs AZ1
Jun 28vs AZ1
Jun 30@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.377
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-6

Home Runs2 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB2 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.41

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1258 PA
Season.05357 PA
Last 2 Years.03684 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ LAD0
Jun 21vs WSH1
Jun 22vs KC0
Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 30@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.02289 PA
Last 2 Years.021289 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs KC0
Jun 23vs KC0
Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.317
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.005

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.000213 PA
Last 2 Years.000541 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.012245 PA
Last 2 Years.034827 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011190 PA
Season.031927 PA
Last 2 Years.0242387 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.023

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.009111 PA
Last 2 Years.006312 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs WSH0
Jun 22vs KC0
Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 28vs AZ1
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.282
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.053

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00030 PA
Season.000139 PA
Last 2 Years.010518 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03231 PA
Season.012245 PA
Last 2 Years.034827 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.011190 PA
Season.031927 PA
Last 2 Years.0242387 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.344
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.045

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.010102 PA
Last 2 Years.017355 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs KC0
Jun 24vs KC0
Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.12516 PA
Season.051136 PA
Last 2 Years.029561 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–5
ERA4.18
WHIP1.37
IP90.1
H / K / BB94 / 69 / 30

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020153 PA
Season.025984 PA
Last 2 Years.0262933 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.299
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-6

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.066

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

KC KC Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from KC's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 BF
Season.03262 BF
Last 2 Years.03262 BF
wOBA allowed.264
Hard-Hit %44%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 BF
Season.016250 BF
Last 2 Years.016250 BF
wOBA allowed.291
Hard-Hit %36%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 20-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04821 PA
Season.01378 PA
Last 2 Years.01192 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ TB1
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.03262 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052213 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0312966 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.339
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.02482 PA
Last 2 Years.016314 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 18vs STL1
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB2

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.016250 PA
Last 2 Years.016250 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013148 PA
Season.026908 PA
Last 2 Years.0293126 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.373
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10519 PA
Season.05985 PA
Last 2 Years.053152 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ TB0
Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.03262 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052213 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0312966 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs2 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB2 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.212

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.010101 PA
Last 2 Years.018227 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.016250 PA
Last 2 Years.016250 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013148 PA
Season.026908 PA
Last 2 Years.0293126 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-4

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.02442 PA
Last 2 Years.008127 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.03262 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052213 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0312966 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.03390 PA
Last 2 Years.038319 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.016250 PA
Last 2 Years.016250 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013148 PA
Season.026908 PA
Last 2 Years.0293126 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-10

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.00026 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs STL0
Jun 22@ TB0
Jun 24@ TB0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11817 PA
Season.03262 PA
Last 2 Years.03262 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052213 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0312966 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.295
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05319 PA
Season.01377 PA
Last 2 Years.018168 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ TB0
Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.016250 PA
Last 2 Years.016250 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013148 PA
Season.026908 PA
Last 2 Years.0293126 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.667
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.072

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00020 PA
Season.01190 PA
Last 2 Years.020247 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25@ TB0
Jun 26@ CWS0
Jun 27@ CWS0
Jun 28@ CWS0
Jun 30vs TB0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.016250 PA
Last 2 Years.016250 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L6–5
ERA3.30
WHIP1.22
IP73.2
H / K / BB62 / 73 / 28

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.013148 PA
Season.026908 PA
Last 2 Years.0293126 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.298
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.