WSH @ BOS Home Runs matchups · Wednesday, July 1, 2026

WSH

Washington Nationals

1:35 PM EDT

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft

WSH Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from WSH's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 BF

Season.04884 BF

Last 2 Years.05199 BF

wOBA allowed.295

Hard-Hit %24%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 BF

Season.010201 BF

Last 2 Years.023260 BF

wOBA allowed.248

Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.039

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA

Season.044135 PA

Last 2 Years.039487 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS1

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04884 PA

Last 2 Years.05199 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017174 PA

Season.027663 PA

Last 2 Years.0252201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.331

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.219

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00050 PA

Last 2 Years.014142 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs PHI0

Jun 25vs PHI0

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.096

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.09122 PA

Season.057106 PA

Last 2 Years.028249 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA

Season.030101 PA

Last 2 Years.023397 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04884 PA

Last 2 Years.05199 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017174 PA

Season.027663 PA

Last 2 Years.0252201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.033

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA

Season.04347 PA

Last 2 Years.030168 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.324

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.148

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.013

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA

Season.01282 PA

Last 2 Years.004272 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.283

Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.045

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2.1× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.015

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.000105 PA

Last 2 Years.011182 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.044

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.08723 PA

Season.04884 PA

Last 2 Years.05199 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.017174 PA

Season.027663 PA

Last 2 Years.0252201 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290

Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.314

Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.054

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.00080 PA

Last 2 Years.014139 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 27@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.340

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA

Season.02871 PA

Last 2 Years.019205 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs PHI0

Jun 26@ BAL0

Jun 28@ BAL0

Jun 29@ BOS0

Jun 30@ BOS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA

Season.010201 PA

Last 2 Years.023260 PA

Opposing Starter · Season12 GS

W–L4–5

ERA2.78

WHIP1.02

IP71.1

H / K / BB53 / 69 / 20

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.023171 PA

Season.0261018 PA

Last 2 Years.0253401 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.274

Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.077

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

BOS Lineup

◷

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BOS's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 BF

Season.02148 BF

Last 2 Years.01663 BF

wOBA allowed.346

Hard-Hit %20%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 BF

Season.009109 BF

Last 2 Years.010192 BF

wOBA allowed.328

Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA

Season.0008 PA

Last 2 Years.00012 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY1

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.355

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.156

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA

Season.02579 PA

Last 2 Years.032315 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.313

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.07114 PA

Season.020102 PA

Last 2 Years.019206 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02148 PA

Last 2 Years.01663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA

Season.0411110 PA

Last 2 Years.0422912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.361

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA

Season.05984 PA

Last 2 Years.042285 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY1

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH1

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.360

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.207

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.01281 PA

Last 2 Years.018401 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02148 PA

Last 2 Years.01663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA

Season.0411110 PA

Last 2 Years.0422912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.282

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.082

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.043

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA

Season.0002 PA

Last 2 Years.055236 PA

Last 2 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.353

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.216

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form🔥 6-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.026

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA

Season.01664 PA

Last 2 Years.025197 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH1

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.310

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0004 PA

Season.00029 PA

Last 2 Years.024165 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ COL0

Jun 25vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.016

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00039 PA

Season.009109 PA

Last 2 Years.010192 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.037

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.043207 PA

Season.0371157 PA

Last 2 Years.0363001 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.320

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307

Hard-Hit % Allowed34%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.1

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.030

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.0003 PA

Season.0003 PA

Last 2 Years.0004 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs NYY0

Jun 27vs NYY0

Jun 28vs NYY0

Jun 29vs WSH0

Jun 30vs WSH0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.024

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA

Season.02148 PA

Last 2 Years.01663 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L1–1

ERA3.44

WHIP1.47

IP36.2

H / K / BB39 / 42 / 15

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.041

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA

Season.0411110 PA

Last 2 Years.0422912 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.298

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.326

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.101

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.