MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Thursday, July 2, 2026

MIA @ COL Home Runs matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
vs
3:10 PM EDT
COL
Colorado Rockies
COL
Coors FieldElevation 5,190 ftCenter Field 415 ft

MIA MIA Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIA's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 BF
Season.046197 BF
Last 2 Years.039595 BF
wOBA allowed.464
Hard-Hit %47%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 BF
Season.021194 BF
Last 2 Years.033608 BF
wOBA allowed.334
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02540 PA
Season.018276 PA
Last 2 Years.022852 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ STL0
Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-4

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.250
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.02148 PA
Last 2 Years.01953 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ STL0
Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.102

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 12-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.050240 PA
Last 2 Years.032564 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 16@ PHI0
Jun 17@ PHI0
Jun 19vs SF0
Jun 30@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.046197 PA
Last 2 Years.039595 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041172 PA
Season.041917 PA
Last 2 Years.0373128 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.381
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03628 PA
Season.034117 PA
Last 2 Years.035287 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ STL0
Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.314
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.177

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.015

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03727 PA
Season.007144 PA
Last 2 Years.011369 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.067

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04544 PA
Season.033211 PA
Last 2 Years.047696 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.046197 PA
Last 2 Years.039595 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041172 PA
Season.041917 PA
Last 2 Years.0373128 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.381
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.23

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00012 PA
Season.00057 PA
Last 2 Years.014213 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs TEX0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +10%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.310
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.00014 PA

Last 4 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs TEX0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 30@ COL0
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.033608 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.023173 PA
Season.0281202 PA
Last 2 Years.0334041 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.336
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11435 PA
Season.050200 PA
Last 2 Years.049227 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ STL0
Jun 28@ STL0
Jun 29@ COL0
Jun 30@ COL1
Jul 1@ COL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00036 PA
Season.046197 PA
Last 2 Years.039595 PA

Opposing Starter · Season17 GS

W–L3–9
ERA6.83
WHIP1.79
IP81.2
H / K / BB120 / 66 / 26

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041172 PA
Season.041917 PA
Last 2 Years.0373128 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.381
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.232

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

COL COL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from COL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.01760 BF
Last 2 Years.050299 BF
wOBA allowed.375
Hard-Hit %47%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.02639 BF
Last 2 Years.016253 BF
wOBA allowed.263
Hard-Hit %30%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04347 PA
Season.029204 PA
Last 2 Years.027562 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.050299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034235 PA
Season.0251313 PA
Last 2 Years.0293295 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.373
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.056

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04522 PA
Season.070156 PA
Last 2 Years.058743 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA1
Jul 1vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.050299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034235 PA
Season.0251313 PA
Last 2 Years.0293295 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.354
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.373
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.301

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.065

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10538 PA
Season.081235 PA
Last 2 Years.063732 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN3
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA1
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02639 PA
Last 2 Years.016253 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030167 PA
Season.026998 PA
Last 2 Years.0323032 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.35

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.043

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.045246 PA
Last 2 Years.045246 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.050299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034235 PA
Season.0251313 PA
Last 2 Years.0293295 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.390
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.373
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.231

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.026193 PA
Last 2 Years.021759 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs BOS0
Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.050299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034235 PA
Season.0251313 PA
Last 2 Years.0293295 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.313
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.373
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-0

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.006153 PA
Last 2 Years.006511 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02639 PA
Last 2 Years.016253 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030167 PA
Season.026998 PA
Last 2 Years.0323032 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.328
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.059

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.009220 PA
Last 2 Years.018333 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ MIN0
Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01760 PA
Last 2 Years.050299 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.034235 PA
Season.0251313 PA
Last 2 Years.0293295 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +7%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.365
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.373
Hard-Hit % Allowed39%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.09

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.11118 PA
Season.022178 PA
Last 2 Years.017300 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN1
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02639 PA
Last 2 Years.016253 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030167 PA
Season.026998 PA
Last 2 Years.0323032 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.321
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.11

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~1.8× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03330 PA
Season.027223 PA
Last 2 Years.032749 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ MIN0
Jun 28@ MIN0
Jun 29vs MIA0
Jun 30vs MIA0
Jul 1vs MIA0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.02639 PA
Last 2 Years.016253 PA

Opposing Starter · Season5 GS

W–L0–2
ERA5.06
WHIP1.55
IP21.1
H / K / BB25 / 20 / 8

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.030167 PA
Season.026998 PA
Last 2 Years.0323032 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong HR boost +8%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.284
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.285
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.115

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.