MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Thursday, July 2, 2026

STL @ ATL Home Runs matchups · Thursday, July 2, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
vs
7:15 PM EDT
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft

STL STL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from STL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.0006 BF
Last 2 Years.015133 BF
wOBA allowed.382
Hard-Hit %33%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 BF
Season.0006 BF
Last 2 Years.009108 BF
wOBA allowed.382

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05636 PA
Season.042237 PA
Last 2 Years.042237 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.015133 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033150 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0282921 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.351
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02737 PA
Season.023262 PA
Last 2 Years.027635 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020200 PA
Season.0241192 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.118

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.039

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00038 PA
Season.048250 PA
Last 2 Years.039922 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.015133 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033150 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0282921 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.371
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.216

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00031 PA
Season.047256 PA
Last 2 Years.030623 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020200 PA
Season.0241192 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.149

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00034 PA
Season.01568 PA
Last 2 Years.024655 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.015133 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033150 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0282921 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.334
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.122

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02935 PA
Season.013233 PA
Last 2 Years.019858 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020200 PA
Season.0241192 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.030167 PA
Last 2 Years.028218 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL1
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.015133 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033150 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0282921 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.107

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 26vs MIA0
Jun 28vs MIA0
Jun 30@ ATL0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.009108 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.020200 PA
Season.0241192 PA
Last 2 Years.0284113 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.293
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.123

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.02051 PA
Last 2 Years.01189 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22vs AZ0
Jun 23vs AZ0
Jun 24vs AZ0
Jun 27vs MIA0
Jul 1@ ATL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.023

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0006 PA
Season.0006 PA
Last 2 Years.015133 PA

Opposing Starter · Season0 GS

W–L0–0
ERA0.00
WHIP3.00
IP2.0
H / K / BB2 / 3 / 4

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.033150 PA
Season.0291054 PA
Last 2 Years.0282921 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.247
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.317
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.078

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

ATL ATL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from ATL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 BF
Season.024210 BF
Last 2 Years.037544 BF
wOBA allowed.350
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 BF
Season.015132 BF
Last 2 Years.021382 BF
wOBA allowed.229
Hard-Hit %38%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04224 PA
Season.045156 PA
Last 2 Years.043507 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.329
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 4 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances4
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.212

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.030200 PA
Last 2 Years.027775 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.299
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.104

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.048

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.061196 PA
Last 2 Years.049972 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.365
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-8

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 5 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.271

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00018 PA
Season.056180 PA
Last 2 Years.040777 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.21

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.026190 PA
Last 2 Years.019626 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.015132 PA
Last 2 Years.021382 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014213 PA
Season.0271266 PA
Last 2 Years.0253882 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.074

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00022 PA
Season.035169 PA
Last 2 Years.029486 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ SD0
Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00027 PA
Season.032216 PA
Last 2 Years.038712 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.015132 PA
Last 2 Years.021382 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014213 PA
Season.0271266 PA
Last 2 Years.0253882 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.301
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs2 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB2 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.136

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.05618 PA
Season.021194 PA
Last 2 Years.035847 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ SF0
Jun 27@ SF0
Jun 28@ SF0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1437 PA
Season.024210 PA
Last 2 Years.037544 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.021191 PA
Season.0301180 PA
Last 2 Years.0283000 PA

HR EnvironmentFavorable +3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.355
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head7-for-14

Home Runs0 in 16 PA
Career Average.438
Plate Appearances16
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 2

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.144

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0008 PA
Season.02969 PA
Last 2 Years.023130 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 22@ SD0
Jun 23@ SD0
Jun 24@ SD0
Jun 30vs STL0
Jul 1vs STL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1676 PA
Season.015132 PA
Last 2 Years.021382 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–6
ERA4.30
WHIP1.20
IP83.2
H / K / BB78 / 77 / 22

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.014213 PA
Season.0271266 PA
Last 2 Years.0253882 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.281
Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 1 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances1
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.092

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.