MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

TB @ HOU Home Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
vs
8:15 PM EDT
HOU
Houston Astros
HOU
Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft

TB TB Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from TB's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00043 PA
Season.032247 PA
Last 2 Years.028921 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.370
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.168

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04643 PA
Season.048248 PA
Last 2 Years.046651 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ1
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.393
Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.277

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.070

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.17446 PA
Season.077261 PA
Last 2 Years.067870 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ1
Jun 28vs AZ1
Jun 30@ KC1
Jul 1@ KC1
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06316 PA
Season.02483 PA
Last 2 Years.02483 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.376
Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.39

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03826 PA
Season.04665 PA
Last 2 Years.03391 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.166

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.005

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00040 PA
Season.000220 PA
Last 2 Years.000548 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315
Hard-Hit %22%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.028

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 7-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08137 PA
Season.043209 PA
Last 2 Years.040778 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs AZ1
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ1
Jul 1@ KC1
Jul 2@ KC1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.306
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.011

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00035 PA
Season.000146 PA
Last 2 Years.010522 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jun 30@ KC0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.295
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.055

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00032 PA
Season.006174 PA
Last 2 Years.011275 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jun 28vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.303
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.047

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00021 PA
Season.010101 PA
Last 2 Years.005196 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 25vs KC0
Jun 26vs AZ0
Jun 27vs AZ0
Jul 1@ KC0
Jul 2@ KC0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season13 GS

W–L7–4
ERA4.00
WHIP1.29
IP72.0
H / K / BB56 / 75 / 37

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.045132 PA
Last 2 Years.045132 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.057

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

HOU HOU Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from HOU's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 BF
Season.026232 BF
Last 2 Years.027674 BF
wOBA allowed.298
Hard-Hit %27%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 BF
Season.019155 BF
Last 2 Years.029711 BF
wOBA allowed.301
Hard-Hit %35%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02049 PA
Season.034207 PA
Last 2 Years.033981 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.029711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028178 PA
Season.0261039 PA
Last 2 Years.0292690 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.308
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head9-for-33

Home Runs1 in 34 PA
Career Average.265
Plate Appearances34
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.119

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.053

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03951 PA
Season.064281 PA
Last 2 Years.055640 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN1
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.026232 PA
Last 2 Years.027674 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052192 PA
Season.029914 PA
Last 2 Years.0322376 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.406
Hard-Hit %47%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.388

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.035

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.01953 PA
Season.042264 PA
Last 2 Years.035863 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET1
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.029711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028178 PA
Season.0261039 PA
Last 2 Years.0292690 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.333
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-9

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.100
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.131

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02246 PA
Season.053282 PA
Last 2 Years.050921 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET1
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.029711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028178 PA
Season.0261039 PA
Last 2 Years.0292690 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head6-for-12

Home Runs1 in 13 PA
Career Average.462
Plate Appearances13
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.224

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07739 PA
Season.033246 PA
Last 2 Years.022602 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ DET1
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN2
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.029711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028178 PA
Season.0261039 PA
Last 2 Years.0292690 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.297
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.116

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.13023 PA
Season.03295 PA
Last 2 Years.028214 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN1
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.026232 PA
Last 2 Years.027674 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052192 PA
Season.029914 PA
Last 2 Years.0322376 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.324
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.143

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.028107 PA
Last 2 Years.028796 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00016 PA
Season.019155 PA
Last 2 Years.029711 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.028

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.028178 PA
Season.0261039 PA
Last 2 Years.0292690 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.307
Hard-Hit % Allowed32%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.167
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.097

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02836 PA
Season.009106 PA
Last 2 Years.020346 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ DET0
Jun 27@ DET0
Jun 28@ DET0
Jun 29vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.026232 PA
Last 2 Years.027674 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052192 PA
Season.029914 PA
Last 2 Years.0322376 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral 0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309
Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.078

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ TOR0
Jun 24@ TOR0
Jun 28@ DET1
Jun 30vs MIN0
Jul 1vs MIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06531 PA
Season.026232 PA
Last 2 Years.027674 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L7–2
ERA2.66
WHIP1.15
IP94.2
H / K / BB92 / 58 / 17

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.033

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.052192 PA
Season.029914 PA
Last 2 Years.0322376 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.300
Hard-Hit % Allowed28%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.