MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL @ CIN Home Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

BAL
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
vs
7:10 PM EDT
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft

BAL BAL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from BAL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 BF
Season.059219 BF
Last 2 Years.041834 BF
wOBA allowed.392
Hard-Hit %36%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.045134 BF
Last 2 Years.024621 BF
wOBA allowed.364
Hard-Hit %33%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.059219 PA
Last 2 Years.041834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA
Season.036927 PA
Last 2 Years.0272195 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.155

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 17@ SEA0
Jun 18@ SEA0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.059219 PA
Last 2 Years.041834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA
Season.036927 PA
Last 2 Years.0272195 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.152

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.045134 PA
Last 2 Years.024621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0281129 PA
Last 2 Years.0323577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.141

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.045134 PA
Last 2 Years.024621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0281129 PA
Last 2 Years.0323577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.138

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 24@ LAA0
Jun 26vs WSH0
Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.045134 PA
Last 2 Years.024621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0281129 PA
Last 2 Years.0323577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.139

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23@ LAA0
Jun 26vs WSH0
Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jul 1vs CWS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.045134 PA
Last 2 Years.024621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0281129 PA
Last 2 Years.0323577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.13

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs WSH0
Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.059219 PA
Last 2 Years.041834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA
Season.036927 PA
Last 2 Years.0272195 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-9

Home Runs0 in 10 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances10
HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.132

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH1
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06730 PA
Season.059219 PA
Last 2 Years.041834 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.031

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.041194 PA
Season.036927 PA
Last 2 Years.0272195 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.359
Hard-Hit % Allowed36%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs WSH0
Jun 28vs WSH0
Jun 29vs CWS0
Jun 30vs CWS0
Jul 1vs CWS0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.030

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.045134 PA
Last 2 Years.024621 PA

Opposing Starter · Season16 GS

W–L3–7
ERA5.12
WHIP1.54
IP77.1
H / K / BB94 / 65 / 25

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.039204 PA
Season.0281129 PA
Last 2 Years.0323577 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.316
Hard-Hit % Allowed29%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.121

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

CIN CIN Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from CIN's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 BF
Season.01188 BF
Last 2 Years.005209 BF
wOBA allowed.240
Hard-Hit %29%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 BF
Season.032249 BF
Last 2 Years.024745 BF
wOBA allowed.348
Hard-Hit %37%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.042

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07713 PA
Season.07086 PA
Last 2 Years.036389 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL1
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.330
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs1 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.231

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 8-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00017 PA
Season.05492 PA
Last 2 Years.06199 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL1
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.363
Hard-Hit %47%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.348

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.04567 PA
Last 2 Years.045202 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.005209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.316
Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.267
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-1

Home Runs1 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB1 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.168

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.059

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.1119 PA
Season.05951 PA
Last 2 Years.074337 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ PIT1
Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.342
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.286

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.9× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.021

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.00018 PA
Last 2 Years.016249 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ PIT0
Jun 27@ PIT0
Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.005209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +2%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.261
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.267
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.200
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.062

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.041

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.18211 PA
Season.11127 PA
Last 2 Years.029175 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL1
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.290
Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.147

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 1@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.126

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.020

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0009 PA
Last 2 Years.008120 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 23vs MIL0
Jun 24vs MIL0
Jun 27@ PIT0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00028 PA
Season.032249 PA
Last 2 Years.024745 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.287
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.308
Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.069

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00027 PA
Last 2 Years.022271 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 2vs KC0
Jun 28@ PIT0
Jun 29@ MIL0
Jun 30@ MIL0
Jul 2@ MIL1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.014

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00019 PA
Season.01188 PA
Last 2 Years.005209 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L5–7
ERA4.99
WHIP1.31
IP79.1
H / K / BB80 / 61 / 24

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

HR EnvironmentNeutral +1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.283
Hard-Hit %27%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.267
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.064

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.