MatchWiz Plays Optimizer
Home Runs · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIL @ AZ Home Runs matchups · Friday, July 3, 2026

MIL
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
vs
9:45 PM EDT
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft

MIL MIL Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from MIL's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.037

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03132 PA
Season.019156 PA
Last 2 Years.047640 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs CHC0
Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.343
Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.189

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.040

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.04842 PA
Season.047169 PA
Last 2 Years.039822 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.052191 PA
Last 2 Years.042787 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.340
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.205

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02441 PA
Season.042261 PA
Last 2 Years.028954 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN1
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.348
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.186

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.034

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.08834 PA
Season.029246 PA
Last 2 Years.034955 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.052191 PA
Last 2 Years.042787 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.346
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.176

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2.3× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.047

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06133 PA
Season.059219 PA
Last 2 Years.045559 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN1
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.358
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.238

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.03529 PA
Season.030197 PA
Last 2 Years.032438 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs CHC1
Jun 27vs CHC0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN1

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.344
Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.15

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.017

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00026 PA
Season.010208 PA
Last 2 Years.017811 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs CHC0
Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.323
Hard-Hit %25%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.053

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 5 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27vs CHC0
Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jul 1vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.045

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.10030 PA
Season.052191 PA
Last 2 Years.042787 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral +0%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.133

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs RHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00024 PA
Season.016187 PA
Last 2 Years.023482 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26vs CHC0
Jun 28vs CHC0
Jun 29vs CIN0
Jun 30vs CIN0
Jul 2vs CIN0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.032

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks
Season
Last 2 Years

Opposing Starter · Season2 GS

W–L0–1
ERA3.60
WHIP1.20
IP10.0
H / K / BB10 / 7 / 2

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.029

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.02147 PA
Season.031223 PA
Last 2 Years.027809 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.292
Hard-Hit %30%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.071

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

AZ AZ Lineup

Projected lineup — order not announcedEstimated from AZ's last game. Batting order is a key driver, so use discretion — this updates automatically once the official lineup posts (~2h before first pitch).

Hits / BF vs LH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 BF
Season.01192 BF
Last 2 Years.029175 BF
wOBA allowed.262
Hard-Hit %30%

Hits / BF vs RH Batters

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 BF
Season.037217 BF
Last 2 Years.035492 BF
wOBA allowed.282
Hard-Hit %40%

Lower hits/BF = the pitcher suppresses hits to that side. wOBA / Hard-Hit % = how hard that side squares him up.

Order · HitterMatchup

Context

Expected PAs4.65
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form🔥 5-game hitting streak

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.060

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.23113 PA
Season.069101 PA
Last 2 Years.062369 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB1
Jun 28@ TB1
Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.387
Hard-Hit %42%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head3-for-5

Home Runs0 in 6 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 1

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.404

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.55
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.018

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00015 PA
Season.009105 PA
Last 2 Years.017420 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.336
Hard-Hit %26%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average1.000
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.071

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.45
vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral
Recent Form↩ 4 games since a hit

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.038

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.06715 PA
Season.026114 PA
Last 2 Years.043414 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.029175 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051137 PA
Season.027922 PA
Last 2 Years.0232155 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.382
Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Home Runs1 in 6 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances6
HR · K · BB1 · 4 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.182

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.35
vs SP / Bullpen~2.8× / ~1.5×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00013 PA
Season.03558 PA
Last 2 Years.022179 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -4%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.338
Hard-Hit %39%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 3 PA
Career Average.333
Plate Appearances3
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.146

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.25
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.025

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.00036 PA
Last 2 Years.026269 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF1
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-5

Home Runs0 in 5 PA
Career Average.400
Plate Appearances5
HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.085

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4.1
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.019

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0002 PA
Season.00022 PA
Last 2 Years.00049 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 21vs MIN0
Jun 22@ STL0
Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.029175 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051137 PA
Season.027922 PA
Last 2 Years.0232155 PA

HR EnvironmentNeutral -1%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.264
Hard-Hit %28%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Home Runs0 in 2 PA
Career Average.500
Plate Appearances2
HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.058

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs4
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0009 PA
Season.02579 PA
Last 2 Years.026270 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF1
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.305
Hard-Hit %29%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.087

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.9
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.022

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0001 PA
Season.0003 PA
Last 2 Years.00045 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jun 30vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.026

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.00014 PA
Season.01192 PA
Last 2 Years.029175 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs LHB.027

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.051137 PA
Season.027922 PA
Last 2 Years.0232155 PA

HR EnvironmentStrong suppressor -6%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.304
Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.286
Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.079

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Context

Expected PAs3.8
vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×
BallparkNeutral
WeatherNeutral

Batter · HR / PA vs LHP.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.0007 PA
Season.04821 PA
Last 2 Years.04821 PA

Last 5 GamesHome Runs

Jun 26@ TB0
Jun 27@ TB0
Jun 28@ TB0
Jun 29vs SF0
Jul 1vs SF0

Opposing Starter · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.036

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.07128 PA
Season.037217 PA
Last 2 Years.035492 PA

Opposing Starter · Season15 GS

W–L8–1
ERA2.57
WHIP1.04
IP77.0
H / K / BB61 / 96 / 19

Opposing Bullpen · HR / Batter Faced vs RHB.024

WindowRateSample
Last 2 Weeks.016190 PA
Season.022990 PA
Last 2 Years.0252537 PA

HR EnvironmentTough -3%

Blends his pull / center / oppo spray tendency with this park's field dimensions, the wind direction, and altitude — the factors that turn fly balls into home runs (or keep them in the yard).

Quality of Contact vs LHP

wOBA.375
Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.303
Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups

Projection

Projected Home Runs0.161

A rough estimate of home runs to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.