NYM @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

2–1

Final

WSH

Washington Nationals

◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 61°F CloudyWind 10 mph, In From CF

David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-185

BOLBetOnline+132—

DKDraftKings+127-169

FANFanatics+125-180

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.3 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%2.0 PA

5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%2.0 PA

6Daylen Lile (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8José Tena (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Keibert Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Cade Cavalli · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

BOLBetOnline-217—

DKDraftKings-172+129

We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Mark Vientos (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.1 PA

6Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA