‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026
TOR @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
2–0
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
◆ Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 64°F CloudyWind 2 mph, Calm
Braydon Fisher · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload9.5 BF
Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+150-210
We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ben Rice (L)11.7%1.6 PA
2Aaron Judge (R)11.7%1.0 PA
3Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%1.0 PA
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%1.0 PA
5Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6Spencer Jones (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Ryan McMahon (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Anthony Volpe (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9J.C. Escarra (L)11.7%1.0 PA
Carlos Rodón · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+120
BOLBetOnline-159—
DKDraftKings-163+122
FANFanatics-170+120
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.0 PA