ATL @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATL

Atlanta Braves

9–3

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.2 BF

Expected batters faced21.2

From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-185

BOLBetOnline+139—

DKDraftKings+128-170

FANFanatics+125-180

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%2.2 PA

5Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%2.0 PA

6Christopher Morel (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Heriberto Hernández (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Pete Fairbanks (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.5 BF

Expected batters faced25.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-135-105

BOLBetOnline-122—

DKDraftKings-112-118

We project 2.9 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Eli White (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Austin Riley (R)11.7%3.0 PA

7Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%2.5 PA

9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA