MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATH @ LAA Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
32
Final
LAA
Los Angeles Angels
LAA
Angel StadiumElevation 151 ftCenter Field 396 ft 71°F ClearWind 9 mph, L To R

ATH Luis Severino · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOLBetOnline-106
DKDraftKings-116-114
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

LAA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Neto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mike Trout (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Nolan Schanuel (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Vaughn Grissom (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jo Adell (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Josh Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jorge Soler (R)11.7%2.7 PA
8Logan O'Hoppe (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Adam Frazier (L)11.7%2.0 PA

LAA José Soriano · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOLBetOnline+118
DKDraftKings+121-161

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Alika Williams (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Shea Langeliers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brent Rooker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.9 PA
7Henry Bolte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Darell Hernaiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%2.0 PA