‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026
CLE @ DET Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
3–1
Final
DET
Detroit Tigers
◆ Comerica ParkElevation 600 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 60°F SunnyWind 9 mph, In From LF
Joey Cantillo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.8 BF
Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-175+125
BOLBetOnline-164—
DKDraftKings-164+123
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Matt Vierling (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)11.7%2.8 PA
5Gage Workman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Casey Mize · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
BOLBetOnline-147—
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-150+113
FANFanatics-155+110
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Daniel Schneemann (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2José Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Chase DeLauter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)11.7%2.6 PA
5Travis Bazzana (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Angel Martínez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Steven Kwan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Patrick Bailey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brayan Rocchio (L)11.7%2.0 PA