MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Thursday, May 21, 2026

COL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 21, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
12
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 94°F ClearWind 3 mph, R To L

COL Zach Agnos · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOLBetOnline+110
BOVBovada+120-160

We project 1.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)11.7%1.1 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%1.0 PA

AZ Eduardo Rodriguez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
BOLBetOnline+100
DKDraftKings-114-116
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Willi Castro (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kyle Karros (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Mickey Moniak (L)11.7%2.7 PA
8Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%2.0 PA