‹ Earned Runs · Friday, May 22, 2026
PIT @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–6
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Bubba Chandler · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.7 BF
Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOLBetOnline+100—
DKDraftKings-105-127
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.7 PA
5Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.6 BF
Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-160
BOLBetOnline+122—
DKDraftKings+124-165
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.6 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA