MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, May 22, 2026

TB @ NYY Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
42
Final
NYY
New York Yankees
NYY
Yankee StadiumElevation 55 ftCenter Field 408 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, Out To LF

TB Nick Martinez · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOLBetOnline+104
DKDraftKings+113-150

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trent Grisham (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Aaron Judge (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%2.7 PA
7José Caballero (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ryan McMahon (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Austin Wells (L)11.7%2.0 PA

NYY Gerrit Cole · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
BOLBetOnline-141
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-133+100
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Carson Williams (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)11.7%2.0 PA