MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, May 22, 2026

SEA @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
20
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 70°F CloudyWind 5 mph, In From RF

SEA Logan Gilbert · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOLBetOnline+115
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Maikel Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%2.3 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0 PA

KC Noah Cameron · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.3 BF

Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOLBetOnline+117
DKDraftKings+118-157

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Patrick Wisdom (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)11.7%2.3 PA
7Mitch Garver (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Raley (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA